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This is basically an idea that you shouldn't set goals on outcomes but on behaviors. The idea isn't new and is kind of mantra in some fields. One very specific
by bluecalm 13y ago
This is basically an idea that you shouldn't set goals on outcomes but on behaviors. The idea isn't new and is kind of mantra in some fields. One very specific one: professional gambling. This is good example because professionals gamblers have very long and imprecise feedback loop and setting goals on outcomes is recipe for constant frustration and confusion (sometimes you make great decision for 2 weeks and lose and sometimes you make awful decisions for 2 weeks and win big). Also for them it's easy to understand that outcomes are very poor indicator of good behavior. At least in "short term" but in many games the short term is sometimes several months or more. That is way more than our brain comprehends and you really have to fight its tendency to link value of behaviors with instant outcomes they produce (how intuition but also superstition is formed).
People without gambling background often have different view on reality - it's not so easy for them to appreciate luck because they are not trained to recognize it and not trained to deal with it in methodological way. I love the take on those issues by the author. As someone who did professional gambling for many years I see the concepts popular in my field worded in "real life"/business terms. Great !
- skrebbel 13y agoI like this analogy. In a somewhat cheesy way, life is a casino, and the big winners are lucky idiots and pro gamblers. You can't choose to become a lucky idiot, but you can choose to become a pro gambler.