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Given how little effort has gone into addressing climate change, doom seems more likely to me, but I doubt it'll be the autocomplete machines that do us in.
by SwellJoe 13d ago
Given how little effort has gone into addressing climate change, doom seems more likely to me, but I doubt it'll be the autocomplete machines that do us in.
- ben_w 13d agoRenewables growth is so fast that it will exceed 100% of electricity in the early, and 100% of all form power in the late, 2030s. It's the meat methane and cement CO2 that's now a big question.
- MichaelNolan 13d agoI think your prediction is a bit early. Maybe a decade early. 2033 is 7 years away. The transition is happening really fast, faster than most people (or political leaders) know, but not that fast. We will hit 1TW per year of new solar soon, but to get to 100% electricity by the end of 2033 I think we would need closer to 3TW per year.
- ben_w 13d agoExponential growth curve(s) has yet to flatten; but you do also need to account for capacity factor, which is different between wind and PV.
- MentalM 13d ago> Given how little effort has gone into addressing climate change, doom seems more likely to me Or it is simply implies that most of decision‑making agents has formed a consensus that climate change isn't that big of a problem.
- SwellJoe 13d agoSure, but that doesn't make it true.
- dalyons 13d agoFor them maybe - rich enough and or old enough to avoid the problem. Big problem for the rest of us
- fragmede 12d agoThe irony is not lost on me, when I go down a ChatGPT rabbit hole, on how humanity could reverse the effects of burning all those fossil fuels, that I'm using more fossil fuels in order to research solutions to the problem.
- aforwardslash 13d agoYou can run doom on anything these days; running it on humanity's eulogy is no surprise :)