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Humans are inherently bad at reasoning about rare events. In 2019, many people implicitly reasoned that "since there hasn't been a pandemic in the past 3 years
by 0xDEAFBEAD 1mo ago
Humans are inherently bad at reasoning about rare events. In 2019, many people implicitly reasoned that "since there hasn't been a pandemic in the past 3 years, there won't be one in 2020". Bill Gates was one of the few voices arguing that the world was quite vulnerable to a pandemic. Now he's arguing that the world is quite vulnerable to AI.
- bigyabai 1mo ago> many people implicitly reasoned that "since there hasn't been a pandemic ...pandemics are precedented. There's a world of difference between that and a fully hypothetical catastrophe that you can't even describe without looking and feeling silly. Bill Gates is Epstein's pal, and not a very intelligent person to-boot. I trust his liberal musings about as much as I trust Chomsky's hysterical and discredited views concerning AI.
- 0xDEAFBEAD 1mo ago>fully hypothetical catastrophe that you can't even describe without looking and feeling silly. The HuggingFace hack fell into that category not long ago, yet it happened anyways.