If the causal analysis is the real value, then it could be presented without a prediction, or at least without a specific prediction. In 2024, if Ed Zitron pre

If the causal analysis is the real value, then it could be presented without a prediction, or at least without a specific prediction. In 2024, if Ed Zitron presented all his analysis of AI companies without the specific “model capabilities have peaked this year” style statements that Dan Luu scrutinized, that would be more honest and provide the value you are looking for. Similarly for the RIM example nobody would have to claim that RIM would fail in a particular year, or that “RIM is cooked”, they could present their data about the present without any projection.