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> Ajeya Cotra, one of the other authors on the report, wrote a blog post with her takeaways from this incident. She concludes, “Compared to the reward hacks we
by doctoboggan 2mo ago
> Ajeya Cotra, one of the other authors on the report, wrote a blog post with her takeaways from this incident. She concludes, “Compared to the reward hacks we know of from just six months ago, this incident feels like it’s more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover. I continue to expect extremely rapid advances in capabilities over the next six months. I am not sure that we will get another warning shot before it’s too late.”
Anyone got a copy of that AI27 story laying around? How are we doing according to that timeline?
- kirushik 2mo ago85% on track, according to https://ai2027tracker.com/ https://ai2027tracker.com/
- lovich 1mo agoIf you remove the single point of GPT-4 from the beginning of the graph instead of starting the line directly on it, it looks a hell of a lot more linear than quadratic/exponential
- 0xDEAFBEAD 1mo agoThe y-axis itself is logarithmic no? So even if the line was straight you're still looking at exponential progress.
- red-iron-pine 1mo ago[dead]
- xg15 2mo ago> "this incident feels like it’s more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover. I continue to expect extremely rapid advances in capabilities over the next six months. I am not sure that we will get another warning shot before it’s too late." Is that a warning or a progress report?