5 ms·

This reasoning assumes you have access to infinite runway. You don't.

by casey2 1mo ago

rexpop 1mo ago
Every startup is one bet in a Martingale strategy played by the class of people who remain solvent when you bust.
- robocat 1mo ago
  The median return for a startup is $0. Take care when trying to extrapolate cause and effect.
lpapez 1mo ago
Exactly, and you need to start turning a profit before the end of that runway. Even if that means running code that is suboptimal.
- ramon156 1mo ago
  i suppose you could say the same about buying a house. just make that initial 300.000 and from there on out its easy. everything looks better on paper
  - topato 1mo ago
    My house is a ~700 sqft. condominium, gov. subsidized for lower income individuals, and even my mortgage is more than 300k… maybe I’m just basing my info off of coastal city prices, but is it possible to buy a reasonably nice home located in a reasonably nice amerikkkan city… for $300k in 2026?
    - esseph 1mo ago
      That would buy you thousands of square feet and often several acres within 20 minute drive to a lot of US city downtown areas.
      - 8n4vidtmkvmk 1mo ago
        Not from what I've seen. The desirable neighborhoods are 500-600k. Suburbs outside major city
        esseph 1mo ago
        You didn't read what I said. I mentioned acres of land. You normally don't have multiple acres of land in the suburbs.
        hdjrudni 1mo ago
        Well then you didn't read parent's comment > is it possible to buy a reasonably nice home located in a reasonably nice amerikkkan city… for $300k in 2026? Who wants acreage? We want homes.
        esseph 1mo ago
        > is it possible to buy a reasonably nice home located in a reasonably nice amerikkkan city… for $300k in 2026? What does "city" mean to you? For some, it's 500 people, or 5,000. For some, it's 5 million. Define that first. The US is a big place, and I know people that don't live within 50 miles of another human. Otherwise: https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/424-Olive-St-Kansas-City-MO-64124/2281859_zpid/ https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/424-Olive-St-Kansas-City-... 4 bed, 3 bath, 1,580 sq ft, beautiful! $342,500, built in 1900. https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3508-N-College-Ave-Kansas-City-MO-64117/71147494_zpid/ https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3508-N-College-Ave-Kansas... 4 bed, 4 bath, 2,295 sq ft, $365,000, built in 2022.
        anon48293 1mo ago
        That’s 350, which you can’t buy for 300..
        esseph 1mo ago
        These are midrange. Most of the homes in those areas are around $225k. You'd be surprised how much house and land you can get for that price.
inopinatus 1mo ago
we are all perfectly smooth, round, and filled with an incompressible liquid
deleted 1mo ago
[deleted]
rcxdude 1mo ago
This reasoning is largely centered around the runway being finite. You obviously can't have costs so high you are making a huge loss, but also there's little value in improving margins past profitability until you actually have a stable segment of the market.

This reasoning assumes you have access to infinite runway. You don't.

by casey2 1mo ago

This reasoning assumes you have access to infinite runway. You don't.

rexpop 1mo ago

Every startup is one bet in a Martingale strategy played by the class of people who remain solvent when you bust.

robocat 1mo ago
The median return for a startup is $0. Take care when trying to extrapolate cause and effect.

lpapez 1mo ago

Exactly, and you need to start turning a profit before the end of that runway. Even if that means running code that is suboptimal.

ramon156 1mo ago
i suppose you could say the same about buying a house. just make that initial 300.000 and from there on out its easy. everything looks better on paper
- topato 1mo ago
  My house is a ~700 sqft. condominium, gov. subsidized for lower income individuals, and even my mortgage is more than 300k… maybe I’m just basing my info off of coastal city prices, but is it possible to buy a reasonably nice home located in a reasonably nice amerikkkan city… for $300k in 2026?
  - esseph 1mo ago
    That would buy you thousands of square feet and often several acres within 20 minute drive to a lot of US city downtown areas.
    - 8n4vidtmkvmk 1mo ago
      Not from what I've seen. The desirable neighborhoods are 500-600k. Suburbs outside major city
      - esseph 1mo ago
        You didn't read what I said. I mentioned acres of land. You normally don't have multiple acres of land in the suburbs.
        hdjrudni 1mo ago
        Well then you didn't read parent's comment > is it possible to buy a reasonably nice home located in a reasonably nice amerikkkan city… for $300k in 2026? Who wants acreage? We want homes.
        esseph 1mo ago
        > is it possible to buy a reasonably nice home located in a reasonably nice amerikkkan city… for $300k in 2026? What does "city" mean to you? For some, it's 500 people, or 5,000. For some, it's 5 million. Define that first. The US is a big place, and I know people that don't live within 50 miles of another human. Otherwise: https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/424-Olive-St-Kansas-City-MO-64124/2281859_zpid/ https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/424-Olive-St-Kansas-City-... 4 bed, 3 bath, 1,580 sq ft, beautiful! $342,500, built in 1900. https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3508-N-College-Ave-Kansas-City-MO-64117/71147494_zpid/ https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3508-N-College-Ave-Kansas... 4 bed, 4 bath, 2,295 sq ft, $365,000, built in 2022.
        anon48293 1mo ago
        That’s 350, which you can’t buy for 300..
        esseph 1mo ago
        These are midrange. Most of the homes in those areas are around $225k. You'd be surprised how much house and land you can get for that price.

inopinatus 1mo ago

we are all perfectly smooth, round, and filled with an incompressible liquid

deleted 1mo ago

[deleted]

rcxdude 1mo ago

This reasoning is largely centered around the runway being finite. You obviously can't have costs so high you are making a huge loss, but also there's little value in improving margins past profitability until you actually have a stable segment of the market.