3 ms·

https://xkcd.com/605/ https://xkcd.com/605/

• mirekrusin 2mo ago
  I think we have more than 1 data point for AI progress.
  • nradov 2mo ago
    We have zero data points for AGI progress.
    • mirekrusin 2mo ago
      Progress is defined by capability data points over time that we have plenty where AGI is a threshold ie. stuff like METR [0] and dozens of others. [0] https://metr.org/time-horizons https://metr.org/time-horizons
      • nradov 2mo ago
        None of those are AGI data point points. LLMs are making terrific progress but it's unknown whether they're progressing towards true AGI or in some other direction.
        • mirekrusin 2mo ago
          What would be an AGI data point?