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Pacing is a really bad idea because China will not slow it down for you.
by OutOfHere 3mo ago
Pacing is a really bad idea because China will not slow it down for you.
- joshuaS98 3mo agoThat's the point. Do you see any concerns by these companies? They just want to slow down pace NOW because they're losing the race
- ajyoon 3mo agoThe entire point of the statement is to start international coordination.
- intorio 3mo agoThe problem is how do you enforce coordination? This isn't like nuclear testing that can be detected around the world on seismographs or from satellites in space. AI research happens in benign looking buildings that could be doing a hundred different non-AI workloads, much of it things that industry or governments would not want 3rd parties prying into. There is too much to potentially gain to trust coordination.
- ajyoon 3mo agoThere is a lot of research out there with answers to your questions. GPU supply chains are extremely constrained, making it a surprisingly tractable problem at least for now.
- intorio 3mo agoHow do you tell the difference between inference and training workloads from outside? The same GPUs can be used for both and the pacing suggested here relates to training and not inference as far as I can tell.
- frabcus 3mo agoRandom sampling of compute activity. https://ai-2040.com/supplements/verification-plan#appendix-packet-based-verification https://ai-2040.com/supplements/verification-plan#appendix-p...
- frabcus 3mo agoSee detailed supplement to Plan A which talks entirely about this: https://ai-2040.com/supplements/verification-plan https://ai-2040.com/supplements/verification-plan
- OutOfHere 3mo agoIt will never happen because there is money to be made by not coordinating, i.e. by leaping ahead. It also doesn't make any sense to hold AI back.