4 ms·
Which makes the headline quite clever in this case, since people will assume that means they aren't wrong, when in fact it means they aren't _always_ wrong.
by MarkusQ 3mo ago
Which makes the headline quite clever in this case, since people will assume that means they aren't wrong, when in fact it means they aren't _always_ wrong.
- aeternum 3mo agoNot sure it's so clever because I completed it as "not always wrong but often wrong", which their graph in the article seems to confirm. Mainstream predictions are easy, usually it means predicting status-quo. It's the out-of-consensus that matters (right 2 quadrants) and it looks like they are slightly worse than 50/50 on those. Props for publishing it though.