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I think pieces like this miss the forest for the trees. Software is the bottleneck for a vast array of economic activities. Attention from intelligent people is
by somesortofthing 3mo ago
I think pieces like this miss the forest for the trees. Software is the bottleneck for a vast array of economic activities. Attention from intelligent people is most of the rest. Both are mostly-commoditized already and are just waiting around for technological diffusion and the closing of the RSI loop. Unless you're doing so as a hobby with no expectation of returns, I'm not sure what, if anything, is worth learning anymore.
- PessimalDecimal 3mo agoLots of unsubstantiated claims here
- abc_lisper 3mo agoI don't know how one would build anything without knowing. If it was true, I would be building a competitor to Anthropic right now.
- Madmallard 3mo agoI mean only people with billions of dollars can make competitors to anthropic because of necessary compute costs that's the barrier to entry
- davidpapermill 3mo agoOnly people with billions of dollars can train foundation models, yes. But a competitor to Anthropic at the product level? With open source models, very little barrier.
- somesortofthing 3mo agoYou build without knowing by delegating to a system that extrapolates what it knows about you and what you want, and is able to execute on that to deliver faster, better, and more completely than you ever could. You'll live as a ball of intent and values, observing in wonder as everything you desire springs up around you before you know you want it. You could choose not to live like this of course, but it would be like driving a DIY go-kart on the highway - you'll fall behind and get in others' way, and the rest of society will treat you accordingly. That's the optimistic case, anyway.
- yoyohello13 3mo agoI assume you don't ascribe to the thought that friction leads to growth. In this future of complete frictionless existence wont humanity stagnate? In this world of no effort, nothing has meaning.
- somesortofthing 3mo agoMore or less, yeah. I'm not a proponent of it, I just think there's enough inertia in that direction of short-term vastly-superintelligent AI. Maybe we can figure out how to become subordinate components of a machine like that, but I think that's the best we can reasonably hope for.