4 ms·
Well, there is also a big difference that it will not learn over time. If a junior makes a mistake and it will not be caught in time they will automatically lea
by prerok 4mo ago
Well, there is also a big difference that it will not learn over time. If a junior makes a mistake and it will not be caught in time they will automatically learn.
With LLMs we have to teach them about their mistakes with adapting the harness and then hoping it will stick.
What I also find particularly hilarious about this whole thing is that we were always complaining about how difficult it is to put our tacit knowledge into words and therefore couldn't produce clear instructions for juniors to quickly ramp up. Now we are trying to do just that. I think we will find, just as we did in the past, that it's not possible. I do think a good harness improves results but LLMs will not be able to reach senior levels. Just my 2c.
- squidbeak 4mo agoThey learn between model iterations. You're right, it isn't the same thing as Junior developers' competence improving with experience - the current model's weaknesses are locked in. But it does mean that much of the Junior level thinking and mistakes will be outgrown by successor models.
- tremon 4mo agoBut they don't retain anything from your on-the-job training. The next model iteration is yet another junior fresh out of college, and knows nothing about the painful training procedures its predecessor put you through.
- fc417fc802 4mo agoSurely you just copy the prompt over and it immediately knows all the same on the job stuff that the previous model did.
- hibgymnb 4mo agoThe point is the current model also knows nothing about the “on the job stuff”. It’s extremely difficult(impossible?) to include every bit of relevant domain knowledge into “the prompt”
- ACCount37 4mo agoSkill issue? Nothing prevents an LLM agent from writing a bunch of "notes to self" and using that. And the next model from picking those notes up and using them. Coding agents already do some of that natively. Hell, we might eventually get an LLM to say "wow the old AI was an incompetent idiot" after reviewing all the notes and session logs. That's how we know we reached human parity!
- codebje 4mo agoYes... but the next session with the same model is yet another junior fresh out of college that knows nothing about the painful lessons the last session put you through ten minutes ago, either.
- dd8601fn 4mo agoMaybe someone knows, but it seems like the model used to be called the model, and the thing using a model (handling prompts and context and tool calling and feeding the model) used to be called the agent. Are we now calling the model the agent and the agent the harness?
- shafyy 4mo agoThere are new buzz words every two months. Remeber yesterday when everbody was throwing around RAG?
- ACCount37 4mo agoRAG died to better AIs. Turns out that a sufficiently advanced agentic model can do more than what RAG does with nothing but a grep tool over a pile of text files.
- majormajor 4mo agoI think if the dream of semantic search from vector embeddings had worked out as well as people had hoped then "grep over a bunch of text" would have some significant disadvantages. But in practice I never saw anyone crack the embedding-generation-and-comparison problems well enough to actually get better results than grep for things like "find similar code and see what it does." (You also don't need that advanced a model to use "grep over a pile of files", but the models today can run MUCH faster than GPT 3.5/4 were running over the APIs back then, making "summarize all five hundred of these matches from those files" much more usable.)
- dd8601fn 4mo agoI’ve had very good luck having my system search for available tool functions with natural language (ultimately against Qdrant). I’m surprised to hear that people are trying to grep files, instead.
- 4mo ago
- sokoloff 4mo agoPart of the positive aspect here is that if I have a junior dev who learns a lesson today, maybe they and their immediate peers learn it, but it won’t be all my junior devs and it certainly won’t be junior devs at other companies. With models, there’s no reason that a model error in company A can’t be fixed for all of company A, and companies B-ZZZ.
- fragmede 4mo agoWhy does company A want the model to get fixed for companies B-ZZZ?
- sokoloff 4mo agoBecause they want the fixes that B-ZZZ learned about and they may not be able to avoid letting the model know that it made an error, unless they suddenly go silent to the model about what happened.
- fragmede 4mo agoNew job under AI. Go work for company A, but use it to write programs that use Company B's stack, but make sure to overcomplicate everything and "correct" the LLM into doing the wrong thing. Make sure Company B gets the results of your "improvements".
- red-iron-pine 4mo agowhy would we let a competitor have the same advantages? and getting an improvement to some random unrelated 3rd party give us...? maybe -- and it's a big maybe -- their improvements could help us to. but that's not a given.
- codebje 4mo agoHere's some reasons: - The mistakes made aren't "model errors" typically; you can't point to some aspect of a model and say that was at fault. - You can't submit a bug report to a model provider for a mistake made when using a model, and you can't* submit training data to be incorporated in the next release of the model. - If you own your model and are training it yourself, other companies won't see a benefit. - You probably need to fine-tune models for each specific role and context so you don't just diffuse all the learning; lessons learned won't be applied to all your junior dev models, but you don't want them all to learn something specific about product A. - If you take this to its logical conclusion you will invent a new role of "model manager" and associated hierarchy to ensure that training is effective and timely, and that company-wide lessons are applied across the model fleet. - This is all impractically expensive. If it were practical to have LLMs learn as they go, that would be a bit of a shake-up, in much the same way that a house fire is a bit of a warm up. * Well, everything you submit to a model provider is likely winding up in training data anyway, no matter what your contract says.
- gopalv 4mo ago> Well, there is also a big difference that it will not learn over time. My work is in tick-tock loop of learning - learn without modifying weights, demonstrate learnings to human, but then lock it back in (accumulate and spread). This looks less like training and more like mentoring. Getting a human to mentor an agent is a hard UX task, but the learning loop is not a technological problem anymore. We can only get a tick once a week, no matter how many tocks we can do an hour.
- themanmaran 4mo ago> If a junior makes a mistake and it will not be caught in time they will automatically learn. I think this sentiment applies well to junior software engineers (with mentorship). But imagine the much larger swaths of entry level employees in operations, support, or sales functions. When you have a 400 person team with 20% annual turnover (since people move in / out of entry level jobs frequently), the management + training + monitoring becomes a huge challenge. I think the typical HN sentiment of "llms aren't deterministic" fails to take into account how non-deterministic giant groups of people are. Every group of 10 people typically needs a manager. And every 10 managers needs another manager. By comparison the engineering work on dialing in your LLM guardrails feels pretty worthwhile.
- bauldursdev 4mo agoYa my experience is that many people honestly don't produce output as good as AI. An educated (formally or informally), experienced person who is putting forward good effort is better than AI, but I do know people who honestly just produce results having AI do it for them.