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I think the biggest problem with prediction markets can be solved with some law that would remove anonymity from those who trade, from the perspective of some r
by sometimelurker 5mo ago
I think the biggest problem with prediction markets can be solved with some law that would remove anonymity from those who trade, from the perspective of some regulating body* . now I know what I just said and I'm sure to be downvoted to hell for suggesting such a thing, but this would make it much easier to fight insider trading, assassination markets/equivalents, ect
You could just force the biggest entities in this space to comply and people wouldn't care enough about secretly betting on wars so it would all work out.
* if you make it so that everyone sees what their neighbor betted on then overall predictions will become less accurate due to social signaling