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It's not that easy to assess diminishing returns with saturated benchmarks where asymptoting to 100% is mathematically baked in. I could point to the number of
by energy123 5mo ago
It's not that easy to assess diminishing returns with saturated benchmarks where asymptoting to 100% is mathematically baked in. I could point to the number of Erdos proofs being solved by AI going from 0 to many very recently as evidence for acceleration.
- throwaway27448 5mo agoThat is not evidence of acceleration, just of some measurable improvement compared to a previous model. After all, humans have made these breakthroughs since before recorded history—that never by itself implied accelerating intelligence.
- energy123 5mo agoWhat would be evidence of acceleration? What would be evidence of diminishing returns? Both questions are hard to answer because it's difficult to avoid constructing a metric where the conclusion is already baked in.