3 ms·
Prediction markets, by any reasonable definition, existed long before 2002.
by jonahx 5mo ago
Prediction markets, by any reasonable definition, existed long before 2002.
- ddp26 5mo agoYeah. People have put together a Prediction Market Database [1] (in a Google sheet), I think it's pretty well sourced and shows a good number of both real money and play money prediction markets from before 2002. DARPA did have a big role though, too. [1] https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vGjnJPxdnBKwag3Q9Uy_LdVAARaSHrI5CWiYKH7dV9s/edit?gid=1671608647#gid=1671608647 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vGjnJPxdnBKwag3Q9Uy_...