6 ms·

One scary aspect of drones is that they can loiter around an area. Unlike shelling or traditional missiles, you can spam an enemy city with drones and they can

One scary aspect of drones is that they can loiter around an area. Unlike shelling or traditional missiles, you can spam an enemy city with drones and they can remain operational and waiting, until people emerge from their bunkers. And soon enough (some psychopath is vibecoding it this very second for sure) drone control will be surrendered to some LLM based system to make the final life/death decision. Another chilling aspect of drone warfare is that you don't get to surrender. No prisoners are taken. You just get blown up even if you are clearly cornered, and helpless and in a traditional setting you'd have surrendered your weapon and became a POW.

ceejayoz 6mo ago
> One scary aspect of drones is that they can loiter around an area. There are some new ones that work like landmines, too; they sit on the ground until they detect something worth going after. > Another chilling aspect of drone warfare is that you don't get to surrender. You can. First one happened in 1991. https://www.wearethemighty.com/featured/humans-surrendered-to-a-robot-for-the-first-time-in-1991/ https://www.wearethemighty.com/featured/humans-surrendered-t... It happens fairly regularly in Ukraine. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/russia-ukraine-robot-soldiers-drone-army-zelensky-b2957813.html https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/russia-ukrai...
- geremiiah 6mo ago
  I have seen the videos where they surrender. I have also seen the countless videos where they would clearly have surrendered if given a chance, but instead, they were blown up.
  - ceejayoz 6mo ago
    Sure; the same is true for humans shooting at you with machine guns and artillery. You don't always get a chance to surrender.
  - andriy_koval 6mo ago
    > I have also seen the countless videos where they would clearly have surrendered if given a chance, but instead, they were blown up. surrender is likely usually accepted when its possible, but with drones it is often logistically difficult because frontline is very wide now.
  - TiredOfLife 6mo ago
    There are plenty of videos of russians fake surrendering. They are specifically instructed to put armed grenades on their body to kill those accepting surrender.
- MisterTea 6mo ago
  > There are some new ones that work like landmines, too; they sit on the ground until they detect something worth going after. Half-life 2 manhack vibes.
EB-BarringtonII 6mo ago
Counterpoint from my time in a brutal warzone, as a civilian. Maybe if you voluntarily join the military of a country known for invasions and war, you're not that helpless to begin with. And, if you get sent to another country with the goal to kill soldiers and civilians, and you yourself get killed by a drone it’s not that chilling.
- bluefirebrand 6mo ago
  So what about when your warzone turns into a peace zone, civilians start to move back in, and autonomous drones left behind by militaries start to kill them? There are still countries in the world that have landmines from previous wars, after all.
  - esseph 6mo ago
    Batteries don't last that long
    - bluefirebrand 6mo ago
      I suspect that some clever engineer could figure that out. Small solar cells or something maybe, idk.
      - esseph 6mo ago
        You're trying to invent a problem :)
- bb88 6mo ago
  Agree. However the key word there is "voluntarily". If a war gets too ugly, the supply of volunteers will dry up. And then you're looking at a draft. It's been a while since the vietnam war, but we (the general public in the US) have forgotten how ugly a war can be.
  - bombcar 6mo ago
esseph 6mo ago
> And soon enough (some psychopath is vibecoding it this very second for sure) drone control will be surrendered to some LLM based system to make the final life/death decision. Another chilling aspect of drone warfare is that you don't get to surrender. No prisoners are taken. You just get blown up even if you are clearly cornered, and helpless and in a traditional setting you'd have surrendered your weapon and became a POW. Okay I need to refute some of this. 1. LLMs haven't been used so much for terminal phase targeting to my knowledge. There's not really any benefit. It takes a lot of power and electronics that aren't needed when you can just do optical image matching. 2. Drones have taken a fair amount of prisoners. They're way more valuable alive than dead for intelligence purposes and prisoner swaps. https://www.facebook.com/NYPost/videos/ukraine-drone-spares-russian-soldiers-life-takes-him-prisoner-in-dramatic-battle/536721175536461/ https://www.facebook.com/NYPost/videos/ukraine-drone-spares-...
zerkten 6mo ago
Prisoners do get taken in situations where they'd be taken without drones. Drones hitting support groups behind enemy lines are akin to airstrikes. When drones are used on the frontline to support ground forces, the enemy will emerge and surrender. Some Russian units in the current invasion of Ukraine have surrendered to drones when ground forces haven't been as close as they'd like to accept the surrender. There will always be war crimes in a conflict of any scale. That is human nature even if we don't like it. If both sides aren't doing it with drones they are doing it with something else. You now see the action in every situation because there are cameras everywhere and incentive for all sides to shape the narrative with this content. As far as AI is concerned, there is the huge risk for problems. That said, you can have entire sectors of a battlefield that are kill zones for artillery but now you have drones taking more targeted action. Western artillery capabilities and approaches are more precise than those used by the likes of Russia, but it's a still a case of pummeling certain places. Drones hitting within a sector aren't much different and possibly have some long-term benefits.
graeme 6mo ago
>Another chilling aspect of drone warfare is that you don't get to surrender. No prisoners are taken. This isn't true, you can surrender and there are videos of people doing so. You've perhaps seen videos of drones loitering, waiting a bit, and then moving in when the soldier does nothing. This is often waiting for a surrender sign. Normally the soldier in these videos is Russian. Why don't they surrender? First they may be shot by their own side if they try to follow the drone. Second, Russian soldiers have generally been recruited with large bonuses and even larger bonuses paid out in the event of their death, paid to their families. However, if they try to surrender and are shot for desertion there is no payout. Whereas if they stay still and die the Russian government gives their family money.
piloto_ciego 6mo ago
I actually am not super worried about "robot killing machines." The trigger is "pulled" when the commander decides to deploy them. A pilot fires a missile or drops a "smart" bomb and it's guided onto it's target. I hardly see this as being any different. Much like a shell that gets fired, after the gun goes off there's no way to make the bullet come back. Same with a rifle for that matter? Autonomous hunter-killer robots that look for things that appear to be the enemy are almost certainly better than what we have now... If you're fighting a war, a machine that "kills everything that looks like a human with more than 65% accuracy" in a region that is run off of a series of Haar Cascades would probably be better than shelling the region into oblivion. I don't know, I get the hate and reticence to give decision making over to the robot, but... maybe the real answer is we should stop having wars?

ceejayoz 6mo ago

> One scary aspect of drones is that they can loiter around an area. There are some new ones that work like landmines, too; they sit on the ground until they detect something worth going after. > Another chilling aspect of drone warfare is that you don't get to surrender. You can. First one happened in 1991. https://www.wearethemighty.com/featured/humans-surrendered-to-a-robot-for-the-first-time-in-1991/ https://www.wearethemighty.com/featured/humans-surrendered-t... It happens fairly regularly in Ukraine. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/russia-ukraine-robot-soldiers-drone-army-zelensky-b2957813.html https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/russia-ukrai...

geremiiah 6mo ago
I have seen the videos where they surrender. I have also seen the countless videos where they would clearly have surrendered if given a chance, but instead, they were blown up.
- ceejayoz 6mo ago
  Sure; the same is true for humans shooting at you with machine guns and artillery. You don't always get a chance to surrender.
- andriy_koval 6mo ago
  > I have also seen the countless videos where they would clearly have surrendered if given a chance, but instead, they were blown up. surrender is likely usually accepted when its possible, but with drones it is often logistically difficult because frontline is very wide now.
- TiredOfLife 6mo ago
  There are plenty of videos of russians fake surrendering. They are specifically instructed to put armed grenades on their body to kill those accepting surrender.
MisterTea 6mo ago
> There are some new ones that work like landmines, too; they sit on the ground until they detect something worth going after. Half-life 2 manhack vibes.

EB-BarringtonII 6mo ago

Counterpoint from my time in a brutal warzone, as a civilian. Maybe if you voluntarily join the military of a country known for invasions and war, you're not that helpless to begin with. And, if you get sent to another country with the goal to kill soldiers and civilians, and you yourself get killed by a drone it’s not that chilling.

bluefirebrand 6mo ago
So what about when your warzone turns into a peace zone, civilians start to move back in, and autonomous drones left behind by militaries start to kill them? There are still countries in the world that have landmines from previous wars, after all.
- esseph 6mo ago
  Batteries don't last that long
  - bluefirebrand 6mo ago
    I suspect that some clever engineer could figure that out. Small solar cells or something maybe, idk.
    - esseph 6mo ago
      You're trying to invent a problem :)
bb88 6mo ago
Agree. However the key word there is "voluntarily". If a war gets too ugly, the supply of volunteers will dry up. And then you're looking at a draft. It's been a while since the vietnam war, but we (the general public in the US) have forgotten how ugly a war can be.
- bombcar 6mo ago

esseph 6mo ago

> And soon enough (some psychopath is vibecoding it this very second for sure) drone control will be surrendered to some LLM based system to make the final life/death decision. Another chilling aspect of drone warfare is that you don't get to surrender. No prisoners are taken. You just get blown up even if you are clearly cornered, and helpless and in a traditional setting you'd have surrendered your weapon and became a POW. Okay I need to refute some of this. 1. LLMs haven't been used so much for terminal phase targeting to my knowledge. There's not really any benefit. It takes a lot of power and electronics that aren't needed when you can just do optical image matching. 2. Drones have taken a fair amount of prisoners. They're way more valuable alive than dead for intelligence purposes and prisoner swaps. https://www.facebook.com/NYPost/videos/ukraine-drone-spares-russian-soldiers-life-takes-him-prisoner-in-dramatic-battle/536721175536461/ https://www.facebook.com/NYPost/videos/ukraine-drone-spares-...

zerkten 6mo ago

Prisoners do get taken in situations where they'd be taken without drones. Drones hitting support groups behind enemy lines are akin to airstrikes. When drones are used on the frontline to support ground forces, the enemy will emerge and surrender. Some Russian units in the current invasion of Ukraine have surrendered to drones when ground forces haven't been as close as they'd like to accept the surrender. There will always be war crimes in a conflict of any scale. That is human nature even if we don't like it. If both sides aren't doing it with drones they are doing it with something else. You now see the action in every situation because there are cameras everywhere and incentive for all sides to shape the narrative with this content. As far as AI is concerned, there is the huge risk for problems. That said, you can have entire sectors of a battlefield that are kill zones for artillery but now you have drones taking more targeted action. Western artillery capabilities and approaches are more precise than those used by the likes of Russia, but it's a still a case of pummeling certain places. Drones hitting within a sector aren't much different and possibly have some long-term benefits.

graeme 6mo ago

>Another chilling aspect of drone warfare is that you don't get to surrender. No prisoners are taken. This isn't true, you can surrender and there are videos of people doing so. You've perhaps seen videos of drones loitering, waiting a bit, and then moving in when the soldier does nothing. This is often waiting for a surrender sign. Normally the soldier in these videos is Russian. Why don't they surrender? First they may be shot by their own side if they try to follow the drone. Second, Russian soldiers have generally been recruited with large bonuses and even larger bonuses paid out in the event of their death, paid to their families. However, if they try to surrender and are shot for desertion there is no payout. Whereas if they stay still and die the Russian government gives their family money.

piloto_ciego 6mo ago

I actually am not super worried about "robot killing machines." The trigger is "pulled" when the commander decides to deploy them. A pilot fires a missile or drops a "smart" bomb and it's guided onto it's target. I hardly see this as being any different. Much like a shell that gets fired, after the gun goes off there's no way to make the bullet come back. Same with a rifle for that matter? Autonomous hunter-killer robots that look for things that appear to be the enemy are almost certainly better than what we have now... If you're fighting a war, a machine that "kills everything that looks like a human with more than 65% accuracy" in a region that is run off of a series of Haar Cascades would probably be better than shelling the region into oblivion. I don't know, I get the hate and reticence to give decision making over to the robot, but... maybe the real answer is we should stop having wars?