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We don't have any NAEP long-term test results for years between 2012 and 2020, because they were canceled due to budget cuts[1], so we can't use the linked data
by pavon 6mo ago
We don't have any NAEP long-term test results for years between 2012 and 2020, because they were canceled due to budget cuts[1], so we can't use the linked data to determine whether the decline started before or during COVID.
We do have the NAEP main series test results[2]. At a first glance at the math results[3][4], it appears they peaked in 2013, then fluctuated through 2019, then dropped significantly in 2022 and somewhat rebounded in 2024, which really does suggest COVID.
[1]https://www.edweek.org/teaching-learning/debate-flares-anew-over-pause-for-naep-long-term-trend-assessment/2016/05 https://www.edweek.org/teaching-learning/debate-flares-anew-...
[2]https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/report_archive.aspx https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/report_archive.aspx
[3]https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/highlights/mathematics/2022/ https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/highlights/mathematics/202...
[4]https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/reports/mathematics/2024/g4_8/ https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/reports/mathematics/2024/g...
- nradov 6mo agoCould we look at average SAT scores by year as a proxy? It's not a great metric because not all students take the SAT but I think there's some correlation. https://blog.prepscholar.com/average-sat-scores-over-time https://blog.prepscholar.com/average-sat-scores-over-time
- jjk166 6mo agoThere was a major change to the SAT design right around the start of the period of interest which seems to have caused scores to jump.
- pirate787 6mo agoThe change was in fact designed to make the scores jump. The purpose is compressing the top scores to allow universities to be more subjective and still have high averages