4 ms·

Cannot get to the article, so: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/iran-warns-tankers-theyll-be-sunk-if-they-cross-strait-without-permission-and-demand-bitcoi

by jmclnx 7mo ago

Cannot get to the article, so: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/iran-warns-tankers-theyll-be-sunk-if-they-cross-strait-without-permission-and-demand-bitcoin-fees/ar-AA20qXRD https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/iran-warns-tankers-they... What is to stop the ships from lying ? I wonder if Iran will do spot check of some ships to prevent this. And will boarding ships cause Trump to have yet another breakdown ?

bethekidyouwant 7mo ago
Lying about their cargo? Can’t lie about the weight … Probably the savings from lying about the nature of the cargo is not worth the risk of exploding..
onlypassingthru 7mo ago
Because ship displacement is really hard to disguise? It's probably like trying to sneak your friend in to the movies under your overcoat.
HWR_14 7mo ago
Oil is heavy. The ship designs are known. You can tell approximately how full a ship is by how deep it sinks into the water/where the waterline is. They can probably consistently lie by a small percentage and Iran let's them get the 3% discount as an acceptable loss.
NoLinkToMe 7mo ago
Even if ship displacement wasn't an observable thing, there's no real reason that empty oil ships enter the strait, and then again leave empty, after having obviously docked at an oil terminal, on any regular basis. Public and observable information makes it trivial to make high-accuracy assessments about the veracity of the claim. And $2m is sufficient budget to finance spot checks, especially given you'd have to apply them to an exceedingly small percentage of ships. A year salary of an average Iranian police guard is about 5k, for context. Plus you can create a scenario where fraud being detected is prohibitively expensive, and may even result in the captain being imprisoned in Iran. I wouldn't expect a lot of lies.

4 ms·

Cannot get to the article, so: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/iran-warns-tankers-theyll-be-sunk-if-they-cross-strait-without-permission-and-demand-bitcoi

by jmclnx 7mo ago

bethekidyouwant 7mo ago
Lying about their cargo? Can’t lie about the weight … Probably the savings from lying about the nature of the cargo is not worth the risk of exploding..
onlypassingthru 7mo ago
Because ship displacement is really hard to disguise? It's probably like trying to sneak your friend in to the movies under your overcoat.
HWR_14 7mo ago
Oil is heavy. The ship designs are known. You can tell approximately how full a ship is by how deep it sinks into the water/where the waterline is. They can probably consistently lie by a small percentage and Iran let's them get the 3% discount as an acceptable loss.
NoLinkToMe 7mo ago
Even if ship displacement wasn't an observable thing, there's no real reason that empty oil ships enter the strait, and then again leave empty, after having obviously docked at an oil terminal, on any regular basis. Public and observable information makes it trivial to make high-accuracy assessments about the veracity of the claim. And $2m is sufficient budget to finance spot checks, especially given you'd have to apply them to an exceedingly small percentage of ships. A year salary of an average Iranian police guard is about 5k, for context. Plus you can create a scenario where fraud being detected is prohibitively expensive, and may even result in the captain being imprisoned in Iran. I wouldn't expect a lot of lies.