5 ms·
$2M/ship is $100B/year at pre-war crossing rates.
by baq 7mo ago
$2M/ship is $100B/year at pre-war crossing rates.
- ra 7mo agoNice. I wonder what the costs of reparations would be if the ceasefire were to end the war?
- School-Cotton 7mo agoI’m 99% sure that if there is a deal where Iran collects a toll, it’s going to involve counting that toll (and/or sanctions relief, and/or unfreezing Iranian assets) as reparations. I would be very surprised if the US or Israel ever agree to direct payments to the Iranian government.
- vkou 7mo agoTruly an Art of the Deal - make countries that didn't choose to attack Iran... Pay for reparations. With friends like Uncle Sam, who needs enemies?
- selfmodruntime 7mo agoFor reference: This would almost triple their govts funds each year. One must also not forget that they're able to raise tolls in the future, both for monetary investment but also for negotiation purposes.
- api 7mo agoSo we spent a ton of money and a bunch of people died to negotiate a much worse situation. 5D chess!
- dmix 7mo agoMaking outrageous demands is normal in these negotiations. You can just look at what Hamas demanded during the ceasefires. What usually happens is no strong concessions from either side and hostilities just end. The regimes get to survive just in a badly degraded state. Most importantly Iran can't afford to keep the strait closed to enforce this. If they block shipping their own will be blocked as well - which hasn't yet happened, they were still allowed to ship oil. Iran was already in terrible financial shape before the war and they aren't negotiating from a strong position of power to take those risks.
- cassepipe 7mo agoIs that an argument for them not being to enforce the ayatollbooth or its price to remain reasonnable ?
- ndiddy 7mo ago> Most importantly Iran can't afford to keep the strait closed to enforce this. If they block shipping their own will be blocked as well - which hasn't yet happened, they were still allowed to ship oil. Why do you say this? During the war they set up a checkpoint system so their ships and ships they allowed to pass could still pass through.
- School-Cotton 7mo agoOf course Iran wouldn't block its own ships at its own checkpoints, but the US is capable of easily interdicting Iranian shipping if it wants to.
- baq 7mo agothis would be a worse crisis than we've just had; it'd put China (if not all of Asia) directly against the USA and would put Australia in a very peculiar spot.
- ivell 7mo agoWhile the crisis would be worse, I am not that sure that China will confront US on this militarily. So far they have stayed out of other's fights.
- dmix 7mo agoIran charging a massive toll would also cause a crisis with the gulf states and they aren't going to tolerate it. This is much bigger than Iran vs US, and the idea they hold the cards for such a claim is mostly propaganda.
- 7mo ago
- School-Cotton 7mo agoNot quite, since they plan to share the revenue with Oman, or at least that’s what they’re currently claiming.
- cnd78A 7mo agogood for them, hopfeully they will be able to better protect themseves from rogue nations that don't respect international laws.
- selfmodruntime 7mo agoWe‘re still talking about the largest funding nation of terror cells mate
- tracker1 7mo agoWho enforces "international laws" anyway?
- enaaem 7mo agoTrump cancelled the Iran deal, replaced it with nothing and now Iran has found an infinite money glitch.
- FrustratedMonky 7mo ago100B/Year How are they spinning this, that it is not Reparations? "10. Iran to use Hormuz fees for reconstruction instead of reparations" What is the splitting of hairs here?
- ramblerman 7mo agoI think reparations could be spent as they see fit. Reconstruction implies the money is going to exactly that. But I agree it's a weird nitpick at this stage, as it seems almost impossible to verify once in place
- Detrytus 7mo agoNo, the point is that instead of the US paying reparations from their own pocket they will allow Iran to tax Gulf countries. That sentence is just worded badly, I would rewrite it as: 10. Iran to use Hormuz fees for reconstruction instead of demanding reparations from the US.
- School-Cotton 7mo agoI think you're right, it's a bracketing ambiguity. Rather than "Iran to use Hormuz fees for (reconstruction instead of reparations)" it's more likely to mean "Iran to use (Hormuz fees for reconstruction) instead of reparations"
- Detrytus 7mo agoYeah, I think they want to do it this way, because Iran wants some compensation for damages, but paying reparations directly would be too humiliating for the US, and Trump would never agree to it.
- MulliMulli 7mo agoSoon the dubai influencers will flock to Teheran.