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Cuba is already lined up. If they feel confident they would try on India because India often does not do what it is told. They have almost got that region under
by srean 7mo ago
Cuba is already lined up. If they feel confident they would try on India because India often does not do what it is told. They have almost got that region under their thumb, except for India. Impressed by Srilanka though.
North Korea is another but I don't think they will dare to make that move.
- lordnacho 7mo agoWhat would the interest be in India? I don't think it figures much in the American consciousness, contrary to Iran or Cuba.
- srean 7mo agoEnsuring unchallenged access to the Indian Ocean is a big deal and access to Indian market under US favorable terms and conditions.
- pjc50 7mo agoI think this is being overstated by Indians who would like to think that India is more important to the US than it is; other than H1B discourse, I think the US has largely forgotten India exists. Invading nuclear-armed India (from where?? Pakistan?) would be a completely insane thing even by Trump standards. It's a plan that disintegrates on contact with a map.
- srean 7mo agoNot necessarily with invasion to start with. First would be destabilisation. It's neighbors are not doing too well lately. Many of them imploded within a short time span. India can do what to the US with its nuke ? It's a deterrent for China.
- bigyabai 7mo ago> India can do what to the US with its nuke ? The same thing that France or Russia could do with their ballistic missile submarines. Just because the ICBMs won't reach the US doesn't mean that the ALCM and SLBMs are harmless.
- srean 7mo agoIndian submarines are in general quite noisy. They bought a few that are more silent, but their acoustic signature got acquired through intelligence/bribery operations. Quite an irreparable loss that the Indian population is not as acutely aware of. One asset that India can threaten is Diego Garcia.
- bigyabai 7mo ago> One asset that India can threaten is Diego Garcia. Case in point. I wouldn't expect a submarine to occupy the littorals of San Francisco, but an attack on Florida, Hawaii, or a distant base would be difficult to defend against. Of course, such an attack is basically suicide, but still a possibility. Defensive systems like AEGIS are stretched too thin to deter a coastal attack.
- srean 7mo agoYou think so ? That is interesting. I am no expert though. I expect Indian subs to be kept good track of. Threatening Florida seems a stretch. Assets in around Indian Ocean are a distinct possibility. In fact India does not need subs for that.
- pjc50 7mo agoEveryone has forgotten ISRO. I don't see why they wouldn't be able to get a nuke into the US on a rocket, if for some reason they were mad enough to do so. But the US nuclear deterrent mostly makes that moot.
- JumpCrisscross 7mo agoIndia is weirdly more often forgotten in D.C., and almost never thought of as a threat, that framing is, as another commenter mentioned, a myth that largely propagates in India. It has recently only featured in Washington due to being a potential counterpoint to China, wherever that project is right now.