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Grok: lots of competitors & my 4th choice in LLM models. Starship: zero competitors & potentially makes humans inter-planetary. Seems crazy if investors put m
by tliptay 6mo ago
Grok: lots of competitors & my 4th choice in LLM models.
Starship: zero competitors & potentially makes humans inter-planetary.
Seems crazy if investors put more value on Grok.
- compiler-guy 6mo agoThese premises may or may not make sense, but the thing that matters is capturable revenue. Humans being interplanetary would be an amazing technical tour de force. But relatively speaking, there isn’t much revenue there.
- malfist 6mo agoThese premises may or may not make sense, but the thing that matters is capturable revenue. European settlers being on the north american continent would be an amazing technical tour de force. But relatively speaking, there isn't much revenue there.
- WalterBright 6mo agoJamestown was a failure. The Pilgrims starved their first year.
- malfist 6mo agoOkay? The US is the largest country market in the world.
- prewett 6mo agoI'm not sure that the continental Colonies brought in much revenue, though. The individual colonists could do quite well, but viewed as an financial investment for the British Crown (which they were not, but that's the OP's analogy) I don't think they were very good. Plus, when they wanted to extract revenue via taxes, the Colonies revolted. Eight years of war probably cost a pretty penny, too. (Sourcing my claim is difficult. I include this reference [1], which says that the Caribbean colonies were more profitable than all the continental colonies together. It doesn't comment on the cost of the war.) [1] https://courses.lumenlearning.com/suny-ushistory1ay/chapter/consumption-and-trade-in-the-british-atlantic/ https://courses.lumenlearning.com/suny-ushistory1ay/chapter/...
- WalterBright 6mo agoAmerica became a success much later.
- bumby 6mo agoI think you are in agreement. The poster you replied to seem to insinuate that immediate revenue (in the Americas/space) isn't the best indicator of latter successful pioneering markets.
- germinalphrase 6mo ago“potentially makes humans inter-planetary” What is the realistic, non-science fiction appeal of this?
- stouset 6mo agoI would wager minerals mining and tourism are probably the only meaningful revenue sources in our lifetimes.
- ant6n 6mo agoGoing to orbit is actually useful already, cf starlink
- stouset 6mo agoYeah, I meant in addition to what we’re already doing. I do think that will reach diminishing returns at some point. Kessler syndrome is a real thing for long-term higher orbits.
- dh2022 6mo agoTourism to Mars and back (this is the easiest interplanetary travel) means years confined in a space rocket just to circle around Mars and get back (it is not possible to land on Mars and get back). Not that appealing…