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> Iran has 90,000,000 people. More than 2x Ukraine Population size is relevant but not the most important factor. Russia has 146,000,000, more than 4x than Ukr

> Iran has 90,000,000 people. More than 2x Ukraine Population size is relevant but not the most important factor. Russia has 146,000,000, more than 4x than Ukraine. It doesn't guarantee that Russia will win the war. > On the naval front, Ukraine sunk the Moskva with a few truck-mounted missiles. Ukraine also had Bayraktar TB2 overhead which distracted Moskva's crew and provided targeting information. Russia probably didn't sent a fighter to down it because skies around Ukraine are contested. Skies not only around but over Iran are not reallty contested. Having said that Iran could sink an american ship if the navy will become complaicent and will assume there are no threats. > The size of Iran means that knocking out drone and missile production for long won't work. Russia has been trying to do that to Ukraine for years now. Russia cannot fly planes over Ukranian territory. The US can fly not only F-35 but even B-52. That's a big difference. The only thing which could prevent the US from knowking out missile and drone production is insufficient intellegence.

tobyhinloopen 7mo ago
Russia is the aggressor, Iran is a defender. That’s a huge difference.
- mdni007 7mo ago
  [flagged]
mamonster 7mo ago
>The US can fly not only F-35 but even B-52 There is, at this point in time, literally 0 evidence B-52s are flying over Iran with JDAMs. Every single photo we saw of B-52s literally shows them with AGM-158, which means they are launching outside Iran aerospace. The biggest evidence for B-52s not flying over Iran is that there have still not been any losses. Go look at attrition rates in Linebacker 2 for comparison.
- bwv848 7mo ago
  OSINTechinical literally had one yesterday https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2038625975332692466 https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2038625975332692466
  - paganel 7mo ago
    The linked tweet says this: > USAF B-52H refueling from a KC-135 tanker on its way to strike Iran. with emphasis on "on its way", so not "over" Iran. So not sure your link proves your original point (which, if I understood right, was that these Americans are flying these bombers over Iran itself). It's also telling that the Americans haven't managed to gain their much desired air supremacy, lots of Dohuet fanboys in the US Military, hopefully this war will bring their Air Power ambitions a notch or two down (even though I have my doubts).
    - bwv848 7mo ago
      Gee, you guys really couldn’t infer what the picture means and had to rely on words? The B-52 is a high-altitude aircraft, a truck-mounted SAM couldn’t hit it, you’d need at least something like a Pantsir(Buk is more realistic, but Pantsir had hit airliner). It implies the US has combat air patrol in the area, ready to conduct SEAD/DEAD while B52 dumps its short range JDAM.
  - mamonster 7mo ago
    There is literally nothing in this image suggesting they are flying over Iran with this loadout except the account just saying it.
    - bwv848 7mo ago
      GBU-38 JDAM has very short range.
      - mamonster 7mo ago
        Where is the actual OSINT though? No geolocation where the refueling is taking place, no timestamp on photo, no suggestion where the bomb is dropped. By your logic an OSINT account can show a picture of a SU-34 in the air with 4 UMPK bombs, write "On its way to Odessa" and people will think Russia has air supremacy over Odessa.
rob74 7mo ago
...also, Germany has 84,000,000 people, so definitely not half of Iran. > Having said that Iran could sink an american ship if the navy will become complaicent and will assume there are no threats. Also, this is an election year in the US, and the war is already hugely unpopular, so despite all of Hegseth's posturing, they're probably playing it extra extra safe. That's also the reason why Trump is so angry that other countries aren't willing to take the risk in their place...
- mschild 7mo ago
  > ...also, Germany has 84,000,000 people, so definitely not half of Iran. I think OP meant land mass not people with the country comparison.
  - rob74 7mo ago
    They also write that Iran is "2/3 of Russia", when surface-wise it's not even one tenth, so I doubt that they meant that...
ErroneousBosh 7mo ago
> The US can fly not only F-35 but even B-52. Well, looking at the news, it turns out they can't because every time they've put something up it's ended in a horrific crash. The US is militarily weak, and is utterly reliant on its NATO allies, who don't want to get involved in the current round of war crimes.
- dinkumthinkum 7mo ago
  Are you delusional? The US militarily weak? Based on what? What in your view is an example of a strong military? And the US is reliant on NATO allies? HN has really become massively under America Derangement Syndrome. This is like a fever dream.
  - fastasucan 7mo ago
    Well, what should people infer from Trump either pleading og trying to threaten for help every other day?

tobyhinloopen 7mo ago

Russia is the aggressor, Iran is a defender. That’s a huge difference.

mdni007 7mo ago
[flagged]

mamonster 7mo ago

>The US can fly not only F-35 but even B-52 There is, at this point in time, literally 0 evidence B-52s are flying over Iran with JDAMs. Every single photo we saw of B-52s literally shows them with AGM-158, which means they are launching outside Iran aerospace. The biggest evidence for B-52s not flying over Iran is that there have still not been any losses. Go look at attrition rates in Linebacker 2 for comparison.

bwv848 7mo ago
OSINTechinical literally had one yesterday https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2038625975332692466 https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2038625975332692466
- paganel 7mo ago
  The linked tweet says this: > USAF B-52H refueling from a KC-135 tanker on its way to strike Iran. with emphasis on "on its way", so not "over" Iran. So not sure your link proves your original point (which, if I understood right, was that these Americans are flying these bombers over Iran itself). It's also telling that the Americans haven't managed to gain their much desired air supremacy, lots of Dohuet fanboys in the US Military, hopefully this war will bring their Air Power ambitions a notch or two down (even though I have my doubts).
  - bwv848 7mo ago
    Gee, you guys really couldn’t infer what the picture means and had to rely on words? The B-52 is a high-altitude aircraft, a truck-mounted SAM couldn’t hit it, you’d need at least something like a Pantsir(Buk is more realistic, but Pantsir had hit airliner). It implies the US has combat air patrol in the area, ready to conduct SEAD/DEAD while B52 dumps its short range JDAM.
- mamonster 7mo ago
  There is literally nothing in this image suggesting they are flying over Iran with this loadout except the account just saying it.
  - bwv848 7mo ago
    GBU-38 JDAM has very short range.
    - mamonster 7mo ago
      Where is the actual OSINT though? No geolocation where the refueling is taking place, no timestamp on photo, no suggestion where the bomb is dropped. By your logic an OSINT account can show a picture of a SU-34 in the air with 4 UMPK bombs, write "On its way to Odessa" and people will think Russia has air supremacy over Odessa.

rob74 7mo ago

...also, Germany has 84,000,000 people, so definitely not half of Iran. > Having said that Iran could sink an american ship if the navy will become complaicent and will assume there are no threats. Also, this is an election year in the US, and the war is already hugely unpopular, so despite all of Hegseth's posturing, they're probably playing it extra extra safe. That's also the reason why Trump is so angry that other countries aren't willing to take the risk in their place...

mschild 7mo ago
> ...also, Germany has 84,000,000 people, so definitely not half of Iran. I think OP meant land mass not people with the country comparison.
- rob74 7mo ago
  They also write that Iran is "2/3 of Russia", when surface-wise it's not even one tenth, so I doubt that they meant that...

ErroneousBosh 7mo ago

> The US can fly not only F-35 but even B-52. Well, looking at the news, it turns out they can't because every time they've put something up it's ended in a horrific crash. The US is militarily weak, and is utterly reliant on its NATO allies, who don't want to get involved in the current round of war crimes.

dinkumthinkum 7mo ago
Are you delusional? The US militarily weak? Based on what? What in your view is an example of a strong military? And the US is reliant on NATO allies? HN has really become massively under America Derangement Syndrome. This is like a fever dream.
- fastasucan 7mo ago
  Well, what should people infer from Trump either pleading og trying to threaten for help every other day?