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On the other hand, they managed their regime change from a theocracy by the Mollah to a weird monarchy by the IRGC and the Khomenei clan with no Shi'a backlash.
by orwin 7mo ago
On the other hand, they managed their regime change from a theocracy by the Mollah to a weird monarchy by the IRGC and the Khomenei clan with no Shi'a backlash. The MEK is weaker than ever despite a resurgence in the last few years, the Baloch/Sistani rebellion is petering out (let's say the Iranian Eastern clans are _very_ wary of the US after being abandoned 3 time, and the general population have a very heavy dislike of the US after the Afghanistan war).
The only remaining dangerous uprising left are the Kurds that the IRGC managed to strike down while saying "this is a strike against the US interest", and they will probably get help from the Iraki Shi'a paramilitaries to put some pressure.
Honestly, i know it isn't the case, but if you told me an exceptionally competent cabal organized that war to prevent Iran from collapsing: thee regime killed 7-15k in january (or rather, 6-14, around ~1k was regime forces getting killed), but the real information was the number of arrest: 40k, and more than 10k jailed They can now kill their jailed political opponent in secret, because you know, war time. US fuckers couldn't just wait Khomenei's death. he was in phase 4, and his cancer seemed pretty quick ffs.
- JumpCrisscross 7mo ago> the Khomenei clan with no Shi'a backlash. The MEK is weaker than ever despite a resurgence in the last few years Could you expand on these? Why would there be Shi'a backlash against the Khomeneis? Who are the MEK?
- orwin 7mo agoAll of it is history from the initial revolution. Khomenei, the original (not the one killed a month ago), was a high-ranking Shi'a priest. He drafted a theocratic constitution, that was mostly agreed upon, except a few caveats that gave the Mollah (high-rank priests) their own police forces and basically supremacy of the religious over the civil government (this was to make coups harder). Their police forces, the IRGC, slowly gained more and more power and tied themselves to the Khomenei. The original Khomenei died, but someone from his clan was also a Mollah, and was designed next leader. That created a tension: was he the leader because he was part of the clan, it because he was a Mollah? In any case, the clan and the IRGC gained more and more power, and the last transition was a soft coup. The new leader doesn't have the rank of a Mollah, and even though he was a priest, there's now way he was selected without pressure on the others. See it at the pope not being a bishop first. The MEK were Marxists revolutionary in 79 who were shafted by the new constitution and oppose the Mollahs since then (and probably the reason why Khomenei and Shi'a priests who were exiles in Irak were 'convinced' by Saddam Hussein, a US puppet at the time, to go to Iran take control of the revolution).