3 ms·

if, just saying, someone had a huge fucking laser and wanted something to plink away at, and happened to look up at night, most anywhere on the planet, ran the

if, just saying, someone had a huge fucking laser and wanted something to plink away at, and happened to look up at night, most anywhere on the planet, ran the numbers and figured the odds, and well elo's stuff does blow up regularly

NetMageSCW 7mo ago
Really? How many Starlink satellites have blown up? How many F9 second stages?
- altairprime 7mo ago
  There are a lot of better ways to present your point; for example: How many batteries supplied with Elon Musk’s companies’ products have encountered an unplanned combustion event after light or no damage? Does SpaceX use in-house or third-party batteries in their satellites? Is their explosion rate of 2(?) per N, where N is the number of unexploded SpaceX satellites, plausibly still within the statistical ranges defined by non-SpaceX satellites given the data available to us? Did the satellite deflect before it exploded or are the shard trajectories consistent with a zero-impact scenario? etc.
  - vrighter 7mo ago
    hate to be pedantic, but for 2 out of N, n would have to be the sum of all satellites including the exploded ones
    - altairprime 7mo ago
      You’re probably right but the question isn’t mine in the first place; look up some data and you’re set to discuss with OP. I was constructing communication examples, not mathematically-correct ones. Guess I did well enough at that!
DarmokJalad1701 7mo ago
> and well elo's stuff does blow up regularly [citations needed]
- salomon812 7mo ago
  [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvim4rsNHkQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvim4rsNHkQ
- metalman 7mo ago
  no need for a citation, as anything ELO does that can be used against him is blown out of any proportion in the press, and this is a completly self evident reality, so n number of incidents multiplied by a rabid anti elo press prodcluces a haze, through which even elo, could shoot at his own stuff, and shrug given the cynisism and mountains of false news, that fog becomes tricky to figure out, and so ends up as a pivot point for those who are looking for new tactical advantages.

NetMageSCW 7mo ago

Really? How many Starlink satellites have blown up? How many F9 second stages?

altairprime 7mo ago
There are a lot of better ways to present your point; for example: How many batteries supplied with Elon Musk’s companies’ products have encountered an unplanned combustion event after light or no damage? Does SpaceX use in-house or third-party batteries in their satellites? Is their explosion rate of 2(?) per N, where N is the number of unexploded SpaceX satellites, plausibly still within the statistical ranges defined by non-SpaceX satellites given the data available to us? Did the satellite deflect before it exploded or are the shard trajectories consistent with a zero-impact scenario? etc.
- vrighter 7mo ago
  hate to be pedantic, but for 2 out of N, n would have to be the sum of all satellites including the exploded ones
  - altairprime 7mo ago
    You’re probably right but the question isn’t mine in the first place; look up some data and you’re set to discuss with OP. I was constructing communication examples, not mathematically-correct ones. Guess I did well enough at that!

DarmokJalad1701 7mo ago

> and well elo's stuff does blow up regularly [citations needed]

salomon812 7mo ago
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvim4rsNHkQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvim4rsNHkQ
metalman 7mo ago
no need for a citation, as anything ELO does that can be used against him is blown out of any proportion in the press, and this is a completly self evident reality, so n number of incidents multiplied by a rabid anti elo press prodcluces a haze, through which even elo, could shoot at his own stuff, and shrug given the cynisism and mountains of false news, that fog becomes tricky to figure out, and so ends up as a pivot point for those who are looking for new tactical advantages.