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Depleted weapons stockpiles could affect the Iran conflict
- goatlover 8mo agoHopefully it will limit the length of the war, and not just have US/Israel endlessly bomb while Iran fires off what it can randomly at anyone in range.
- YZF 8mo ago- Iran is going to run out of things to fire or things they use to fire off (launchers) pretty soon. The number of things they're been firing off has been on a sharp decrease. - I am pretty sure Israel and the US are very far from depleting their stockpiles. They are going to completely demolish the regime and all its assets. There are many different types of munitions for different situations, many of them interchangeable. - The only question mark is interceptors where we have a bit of a race between eliminating the ability of Iran to attack and the remaining (very expensive) interceptors. The lack of interceptors is not going to be a limit. Nobody knows for sure but it'd be a surprise if there aren't enough interceptors for both the US and Israel. The US might have some desire to keep some minimal stockpile for other theaters/concerns so maybe that's a concern. - The US and Israel can not afford to let Iran gain leverage here and they won't.
- gravisultra 8mo agoNone of this is backed by reality. In fact, Tel Aviv and all of Northern Israel have been taking extreme damage the past 48 hours.
- lakrici88284 8mo agoIt's been extremely limited damage. Do you have any evidence at all for the "extreme" damage?
- gravisultra 8mo agoThere's too much to post but I put a few links in the sibling comment.
- lakrici88284 8mo ago[dead]
- YZF 8mo agoIsrael has taken very little damage. The quantity of rockets and missiles is significantly lower than the previous rounds, going down. Hezbollah and Iran are getting crushed. That is the reality.
- gravisultra 8mo agoIsrael has taken extreme damage over the past couple of days. Iran hit Tel Aviv with cluster bombs last night. Many buildings destroyed. The Israeli censorship and propaganda can no longer contain the reality of the situation. Tel Aviv got hit hard: * https://x.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/2029879503195906117 https://x.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/2029879503195906117 * https://x.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/2029840175354851676 https://x.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/2029840175354851676 Hezbollah also just took out Smotrich's son: https://x.com/OunkaOnX/status/2029900034700103882 https://x.com/OunkaOnX/status/2029900034700103882 Here's Hasbarist Eve Barlow complaining about the cluster bombs, with footage from last night: https://x.com/Eve_Barlow/status/2029878722472636642 https://x.com/Eve_Barlow/status/2029878722472636642
- YZF 8mo agoI know people that live there. But you believe whatever you want. Those cluster bombs are relatively small. They do minor damage. Nobody was even injured. All your images are the single missile that got through to Tel Aviv where there was some civilian casualties because the sirens were delayed. Generally there is plenty of warning and bomb shelters. The minor property damage is meaningless and has no impact on Israel overall. What is hitting Israel this round is lot less than the last round. I saw first hand the damage from the previous round where a lot more missiles got through when I visited Israel. It's still some tiny fraction of what Iran and Hezbollah are getting hit with. This has zero impact on Israel. But by the time Israel is done with the Dahiye it's going to be a parking lot. [EDIT: https://abcnews.com/International/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-live-updates-netanyahu-trump-eye?id=115724154&entryId=115805632 https://abcnews.com/International/live-updates/israel-gaza-l... ] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz7jx575pg7o https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz7jx575pg7o .. Assuming Hezbollah doesn't back off and agree to disarm. Iran is getting pounded x10 of that though more military and regime targets. EDIT: Smotrich's son did get injured. He was lightly wounded. Cluster bombs are a) illegal b) totally ineffective other than causing broader property damage. You're live in fantasy land. I suggest visiting Israel after the war is over to see how destroyed it is ... not.
- adampunk 8mo agoThe funniest thing about this is how colossally Russia screwed Iran. Iran sent over thousands of drones and dozens of drone pilots for use in Ukraine. No doubt Russia paid for it, but probably not as much as Iran wish they had. 300 extra Shaheds would have made the interception math ugly even last year. Instead, they send all their inventory north so that Moscow can spend less money to blow up shopping centers and school houses. Meanwhile, the Iranians lose a credible deterrent.
- karp773 8mo agoCui bono? Just asking...
- adampunk 8mo agoMy suspicion is that Russia, the UK, and the US have a multi-hundred year competition going for who can be the worst ally and the US is in a commanding lead. Them Rooskies had to try to catch up.
- palmotea 8mo ago> No doubt Russia paid for it, but probably not as much as Iran wish they had. 300 extra Shaheds would have made the interception math ugly even last year. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HESA_Shahed_136#Operators https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HESA_Shahed_136#Operators: > According to leaked documents, the provenance of which are unclear, the Russian military in 2022 paid $1.75 billion in gold bullion for the import of 6,000 Shahed 136 units.[157] These documents state that with near full Russian localization, the projected cost is $48,800 per unit.[158] Based on these documents, Anton Gerashchenko stated the cost of each Shahed 136 was believed to be $193,000 per unit when ordering 6,000 drones and about $290,000 per unit when ordering 2,000.[3] I don't think 300 would have mattered. According to this (https://isis-online.org/isis-reports/monthly-analysis-of-russian-shahed-136-deployment-against-ukraine https://isis-online.org/isis-reports/monthly-analysis-of-rus...), that's like a day or two of launches: > In January, the trend toward saturation and even a gradual decrease in the number of launches of Shahed-type UAVs, which had been observed since the beginning of autumn, continued. Specifically, 4442 Shahed-type drones were launched in January, of which 2915 were designated as Shahed/Geran strike drones, and the remaining drones were categorized as decoy drones. This is the lowest figure recorded since the onset of autumn. The mean frequency of Shahed-type UAV launches in January, including decoys, was approximately 143 per day. This figure is lower than the average number of Shahed drone launches during the summer and fall of 2025, which was 175 UAVs per day, with a peak in July, when the average was 203 drones per day (see Fig. 1 and Table 1). Although there were no mass attacks involving 450 or more UAVs per attack in January 2026, as in previous months, January 2026 was notable for the use of large numbers of various types of missiles in combination with strike UAVs against Ukraine's energy infrastructure. > The funniest thing about this is how colossally Russia screwed Iran. Iran sent over thousands of drones and dozens of drone pilots for use in Ukraine.... > Instead, they send all their inventory north so that Moscow can spend less money to blow up shopping centers and school houses. Meanwhile, the Iranians lose a credible deterrent. Russia screwed them, but not in the way you describe. It seems like Iran wished Russia had bought more: https://www.jpost.com/international/article-863703 https://www.jpost.com/international/article-863703: > Russia and Iran signed a $1.75 billion deal in 2023 so that Russia could domestically produce Iran's Shahed-136 drones, but two years later, Western security officials say Tehran feels abandoned after Moscow began improving the model and producing it for cheaper, CNN reported on Friday. > Russia has heavily relied on the Shahed-136 drones in its war on Ukraine, and now has localized nearly 90% of production, much to Iran’s surprise. > Sources who spoke to CNN said that they believe that this has made Iran feel like it has had little return on the deal after it supported war, leading to a rift between Tehran and Moscow. > “This evolution marks a gradual loss of control for Iran over the final product, which is now largely manufactured locally and independently,” a Western intelligence source told CNN. > The source explained that Moscow’s goal was to “fully master the production cycle and free itself from future negotiations with Tehran.”
- buckle8017 8mo agoOnce the US achieves complete air superiority(and it will) the bombing runs will switch to B52s and JDAMs which we do have a nearly unlimited supply of.
- YZF 8mo agoAccording to statements from both the US and Israel earlier today that was going to happen over all of Iran in a matter of hours. They have already done that over most of Iran's air space. B52's are already in there: https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2026/03/04/the-us-air-force-just-used-its-oldest-bomber-to-attack-iran/ https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2026/03/04/...
- orwin 8mo agoThe chaos and suffering it will cause is extremely sad to think about.
- tharmas 8mo agoIran will end up like Libya but it will be far worse for the world. Massive numbers of refugees. Europe will be flooded with Muslims. tRump hates Europe but its hard to say if he would see this as a good thing. There will be no good outcome for anyone except maybe BB.
- mitchbob 8mo agohttps://archive.ph/qRe4h https://archive.ph/qRe4h
- jurgenburgen 8mo agoWhat a pointless war. The next government will be even more dangerous and will have no option but to pursue a nuclear capability.
- theshrike79 8mo agoIf we don't have nukes as agreed with the previous government, US will attack. If we have nukes, they might not TBH I'd do that too in their shoes.
- spwa4 8mo ago[flagged]
- cherry_tree 8mo agoA bit ironic for a European to say Iran is trying to colonize the world.
- spwa4 8mo ago[flagged]
- krapp 8mo agoIt still counts as colonizing if someone else colonized it before you did.
- spwa4 8mo agoAlso for "someone else", or just for Europeans?
- krapp 8mo ago"Someone else" colonizing a place or culture doesn't negate the effect of further European colonization, nor does it justify it. Africa, Asia and the Middle East were very obviously colonized by Europeans. The phrase "the sun never sets on the British empire" exists for a reason. Many national borders still exist because of the British Empire. Western civilization rests on a foundation of a thousand years of Christian conquest, rape, slavery and the plunder of far more land and peoples than any Islamic power ever accomplished. Being particularly precious or indignant about that is just childish. It is what it is.
- orwin 8mo agoI know the 1953 coup isn't possible anymore, but like in Lybia, you have resistance from tribes (clans in Iran, but it's basically the same except richer and stronger) in the east and local Kurds in the west that you could have used as a local power to do a Lybia-like immediate revolution. That still ended up terribly with millions of dead and way worse living conditions for everyone, but in the end at least a plan existed for a power transition, and boots on the ground weren't needed. This feels unplanned and amateurish as fuck. Like the goal is chaos and destruction first, and imperialist country building second at best. And maybe that was the plan all along.