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> AI replaces codified knowledge – the kind of learning you get from classrooms or textbooks – but struggles with tacit knowledge, the experiential judgement th
by randusername 8mo ago
> AI replaces codified knowledge – the kind of learning you get from classrooms or textbooks – but struggles with tacit knowledge, the experiential judgement that accumulates over years on the job. This is why seniors are spared and juniors are not. But Oks’ thesis treats this as reassurance: see, humans with deep knowledge still have comparative advantage! I believe this is more of a senior worker’s luxury, and the protection for “seniors” will move up and up the hierarchy over time.
Times change, the ladders you and I climbed to success may not be around in the same forms for our children. That's not new. But will there be any ladders to climb if the bottom rungs are all gone?
- CuriouslyC 8mo agoAll the kids already wanted be influencers, ironically turns out that's one of the safer career paths when AI is factored into the equation. Still not plumber or electrician safe, but the potential upsides are much higher.
- readams 8mo agoAI is already taking over content generation
- Take8435 8mo agoAI Influencers are already making inroads. I don't think it's as safe as you think.
- CuriouslyC 8mo agoAI is making inroads everywhere, but as it takes over human connection is going to get more important, not less. AI video novelty is wearing off, platforms are moving to downrank AI content, and people are looking for more authenticity/trust signals.
- blibble 8mo agothere is no more connection with your favorite human influencer than there is with an "AI" influencer they're both a scam, just the "AI" influencer isn't a pretty woman it's a 45 year old balding guy, with 25 accounts
- Aurornis 8mo ago> ironically turns out that's one of the safer career paths When I was doing mentoring there were dozens of young people pursuing influencer goals. Zero of them made it anywhere. It’s not a safe career path unless you ignore the 99.99% of influencers who don’t get traction and only look at the couple who become famous.
- pixl97 8mo agoYep, it's not any different than being a musician. Lots of people are good at writing/singing/playing music, very very few get anywhere with it.
- CuriouslyC 8mo agoYou can get ramen profitable off 1k YT subscribers if you choose the right niche and monetization strategy. That's a reasonable bar if you have some persistence.
- turnsout 8mo agoOnce demand drives electrician salaries up to $200k/year, the influencer grind will lose some of its shine
- Xenoamorphous 8mo agoWhy would demand go up? Yes electricians are definitely safer than those of us who work in front of a computer all day, but I don’t think AI is good for them either. First of all, more young people might try to become one, potentially crowding the sector. Second, if the rest of us are poorer we’ll also spend less in housing and other things that require an electrician.
- disgruntledphd2 8mo agoYou need electricians for data centres, at the very least.
- warkdarrior 8mo agoI expect data center electrical design to go modular and maintainable in a completely automated way.
- turnsout 8mo agoIt's more about supply going down (fewer people going into trades), which eventually affects demand for that shrinking pool.
- enraged_camel 8mo ago>> All the kids already wanted be influencers, ironically turns out that's one of the safer career paths when AI is factored into the equation This is quite false. It is trivial to generate UGC (user-generated content) using AI now, and the resulting short-form videos are virtually indistinguishable from the real thing.
- CuriouslyC 8mo agoOur culture is very novelty driven. AI video novelty is wearing thin and platforms/users are pushing back. You might be able to surf the long tail with fake videos, but I expect credible proof of humanity is going to become very important for people who get a lot of attention.
- Cthulhu_ 8mo agoBesides AI what other commenters pointed out, commercialized / "production line" influencers are already a thing and have been for years. I've seen some pretty dystopian studios being posted on social media (take that with a grain of salt because internet).