3 ms·

How much has the volume increased, from what you know?

reactordev 8mo ago
Over 100x is what I’m hearing. Though that could just be panic and they don’t know the real number because they can’t handle the traffic.
- zero_shift 8mo ago
  One hundred? Did I read that right?
  - reactordev 8mo ago
    There’s a huge up tick in people who weren’t engineers suddenly using git for projects with AI. This is all grapevine but yeah, you read that right.
  - 9cb14c1ec0 8mo ago
    Yes, millions of people running code agents around the clock, where every tiny change generates a commit, a branch, a PR, and a CI run.
    - neuropacabra 8mo ago
      I simply do not believe that all of these people can and want to setup a CI. Some maybe, but even after the agent will recommend it only a fraction of people would actually do it. Why would they?
      - dmix 8mo ago
        Github CI is extremely easy to set up and agents can configure it from the local codebase.
      - cactusplant7374 8mo ago
        Codex did it automatically for me without asking.
      - ncruces 8mo ago
        But if you setup CI, you can pick up the mobile site with your phone, chat with Copilot about a feature, then ask it to open a PR, let CI run, iterate a couple of times, then merge the PR. All the while you're playing a wordle and reading the news on the morning commute. It's actually a good workflow for silly throw away stuff.
  - falloutx 8mo ago
    No its not. 121M repos added on github in 2025, and overall they have 630 million now. There is probably at best 2x increased in output (mostly trash output), but no where near 100x https://github.blog/news-insights/octoverse/octoverse-a-new-developer-joins-github-every-second-as-ai-leads-typescript-to-1/?utm_source=chatgpt.com#:~:text=630M%20total%20repositories%20with%20%2B121M%20new%20repositories%20in%202025%20marking%20our%20biggest%20year%20yet https://github.blog/news-insights/octoverse/octoverse-a-new-...
    - reactordev 8mo ago
      Published in Oct 2025... I think your estimate is off. Note the hockey stick growth in the graph they showed in Oct. Here we are in February. It's gotten way worse now with additional Claude's, Claw's, Ralph's, and such. It may not be 100x as was told to me but it's definitely putting the strain on the entire org.
      - dijit 8mo ago
        > Oct 2025 Doubling down by insisting that the data is out of date, when the data is 3 months old and the latest available is unconvincing. If you're telling me that in December it went from 2x to 100x then I don't believe you.
      - falloutx 8mo ago
        > It may not be 100x as was told to me but it's definitely putting the strain on the entire org. But thats not even the top 5 strain on github, their main issue is the forced adoption of Azure. I can guarantee you that about 99% of repos are still cold, as in very few pulls and no pushes and that hasn't changed in 3 months. Storage itself doesn't add that much strain on the system if the data is accessed rarely.
        reactordev 8mo ago
        I put the blame squarely on GitHub and refuse to believe it’s a vendors fault. It’s their fault. They may be forced to use Azure but that doesn’t stop one from being able to deliver a service. I’ve done platforms on AWS, Azure, and GCP. The blame is not on the cloud provider unless everyone is down.
- bredren 8mo ago
  An anecdote: On one project, I use a skill + custom cli to assist getting PRs through a sometimes long and winding CI process. `/babysit-pr` This includes regular checks on CI checks using `gh`. My skill / cli are broken right now: `gh pr checks 8174 --repo [repo] 2>&1)` Error: Exit code 1 Non-200 OK status code: 429 Too Many Requests Body: { "message": "This endpoint is temporarily being throttled. Please try again later. For more on scraping GitHub and how it may affect your rights, please review our Terms of Service (https://docs.github.com/en/site-policy/github-terms/github-terms-of-service)", "documentation_url": "https://docs.github.com/graphql/using-the-rest-api/rate-limits-for-the-rest-api", "status": "429" }
- chasd00 8mo ago
  So much for GitHub being a good source of training data. Btw, someone prompt Claude code “make an equivalent to GitHub.com and deploy it wherever you think is best. No questions.”
- yallpendantools 8mo ago
  Goodness if that's true... And I actually felt bad when they banned me from the free tier of LFS.
- falloutx 8mo ago
  Lmao not even close. Github themselves have released the numbers and it was 121M new repos with 2025 ending up with 630M https://github.blog/news-insights/octoverse/octoverse-a-new-developer-joins-github-every-second-as-ai-leads-typescript-to-1/#:~:text=630M%20total%20repositories%20with%20%2B121M%20new%20repositories%20in%202025%20marking%20our%20biggest%20year%20yet https://github.blog/news-insights/octoverse/octoverse-a-new-...
  - reactordev 8mo ago
    So X might have been %

Over 100x is what I’m hearing. Though that could just be panic and they don’t know the real number because they can’t handle the traffic.

zero_shift 8mo ago
One hundred? Did I read that right?
- reactordev 8mo ago
  There’s a huge up tick in people who weren’t engineers suddenly using git for projects with AI. This is all grapevine but yeah, you read that right.
- 9cb14c1ec0 8mo ago
  Yes, millions of people running code agents around the clock, where every tiny change generates a commit, a branch, a PR, and a CI run.
  - neuropacabra 8mo ago
    I simply do not believe that all of these people can and want to setup a CI. Some maybe, but even after the agent will recommend it only a fraction of people would actually do it. Why would they?
    - dmix 8mo ago
      Github CI is extremely easy to set up and agents can configure it from the local codebase.
    - cactusplant7374 8mo ago
      Codex did it automatically for me without asking.
    - ncruces 8mo ago
      But if you setup CI, you can pick up the mobile site with your phone, chat with Copilot about a feature, then ask it to open a PR, let CI run, iterate a couple of times, then merge the PR. All the while you're playing a wordle and reading the news on the morning commute. It's actually a good workflow for silly throw away stuff.
- falloutx 8mo ago
  No its not. 121M repos added on github in 2025, and overall they have 630 million now. There is probably at best 2x increased in output (mostly trash output), but no where near 100x https://github.blog/news-insights/octoverse/octoverse-a-new-developer-joins-github-every-second-as-ai-leads-typescript-to-1/?utm_source=chatgpt.com#:~:text=630M%20total%20repositories%20with%20%2B121M%20new%20repositories%20in%202025%20marking%20our%20biggest%20year%20yet https://github.blog/news-insights/octoverse/octoverse-a-new-...
  - reactordev 8mo ago
    Published in Oct 2025... I think your estimate is off. Note the hockey stick growth in the graph they showed in Oct. Here we are in February. It's gotten way worse now with additional Claude's, Claw's, Ralph's, and such. It may not be 100x as was told to me but it's definitely putting the strain on the entire org.
    - dijit 8mo ago
      > Oct 2025 Doubling down by insisting that the data is out of date, when the data is 3 months old and the latest available is unconvincing. If you're telling me that in December it went from 2x to 100x then I don't believe you.
    - falloutx 8mo ago
      > It may not be 100x as was told to me but it's definitely putting the strain on the entire org. But thats not even the top 5 strain on github, their main issue is the forced adoption of Azure. I can guarantee you that about 99% of repos are still cold, as in very few pulls and no pushes and that hasn't changed in 3 months. Storage itself doesn't add that much strain on the system if the data is accessed rarely.
      - reactordev 8mo ago
        I put the blame squarely on GitHub and refuse to believe it’s a vendors fault. It’s their fault. They may be forced to use Azure but that doesn’t stop one from being able to deliver a service. I’ve done platforms on AWS, Azure, and GCP. The blame is not on the cloud provider unless everyone is down.
bredren 8mo ago
An anecdote: On one project, I use a skill + custom cli to assist getting PRs through a sometimes long and winding CI process. `/babysit-pr` This includes regular checks on CI checks using `gh`. My skill / cli are broken right now: `gh pr checks 8174 --repo [repo] 2>&1)` Error: Exit code 1 Non-200 OK status code: 429 Too Many Requests Body: { "message": "This endpoint is temporarily being throttled. Please try again later. For more on scraping GitHub and how it may affect your rights, please review our Terms of Service (https://docs.github.com/en/site-policy/github-terms/github-terms-of-service)", "documentation_url": "https://docs.github.com/graphql/using-the-rest-api/rate-limits-for-the-rest-api", "status": "429" }
chasd00 8mo ago
So much for GitHub being a good source of training data. Btw, someone prompt Claude code “make an equivalent to GitHub.com and deploy it wherever you think is best. No questions.”
yallpendantools 8mo ago
Goodness if that's true... And I actually felt bad when they banned me from the free tier of LFS.
falloutx 8mo ago
Lmao not even close. Github themselves have released the numbers and it was 121M new repos with 2025 ending up with 630M https://github.blog/news-insights/octoverse/octoverse-a-new-developer-joins-github-every-second-as-ai-leads-typescript-to-1/#:~:text=630M%20total%20repositories%20with%20%2B121M%20new%20repositories%20in%202025%20marking%20our%20biggest%20year%20yet https://github.blog/news-insights/octoverse/octoverse-a-new-...
- reactordev 8mo ago
  So X might have been %