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If cannot the say they are "thinking", "intelligent" while we do not have a good definition--or, even more difficult, unanimous agreement on a definition--then
by lukebuehler 11mo ago
If cannot the say they are "thinking", "intelligent" while we do not have a good definition--or, even more difficult, unanimous agreement on a definition--then the discussion just becomes about output.
They are doing useful stuff, saving time, etc, which can be measured. Thus also the defintion of AGI has largely become: "can produce or surpass the economic output of a human knowledge worker".
But I think this detracts from the more interesting discussion of what they are more essentially. So, while I agree that we should push on getting our terms defined, I think I'd rather work with a hazy definition, than derail so many AI discussion to mere economic output.
- keiferski 11mo agoPersonally I think that kind of discussion is fruitless, not much more than entertainment. If you’re asking big questions like “can a machine think?” Or “is an AI conscious?” without doing the work of clarifying your concepts, then you’re only going to get vague ideas, sci-fi cultural tropes, and a host of other things. I think the output question is also interesting enough on its own, because we can talk about the pragmatic effects of ChatGPT on writing without falling into this woo trap of thinking ChatGPT is making the human capacity for expression somehow extinct. But this requires one to cut through the hype and reactionary anti-hype, which is not an easy thing to do. That is how I myself see AI: immensely useful new tools, but in no way some kind of new entity or consciousness, at least without doing the real philosophical work to figure out what that actually means.
- lukebuehler 11mo agoI do think it raises interesting and important philosophical questions. Just look at all the literature around the Turing test--both supporters and detractors. This has been a fruitful avenue to talk about intelligence even before the advent of gpt.
- jlaternman 11mo agoI agree with almost all of this. IMO the issue is we won't be able to adequately answer this question before we first clearly describe what we mean of conscious thinking applied to ourselves. First we'd need to clearly define our own consciousness and what we mean by our own "conscious thinking" in a much, much clearer way than we currently do. If we ever reach that point, I think we'd be able to fruitfully apply it to AI, etc., to assess. Unfortunately we haven't been obstructed from answering this question about ourselves for centuries or millennia, but have failed to do so, so it's unlikely to happen suddenly now. Unless we use AIs to first solve that problem of defining our own consciousness, before applying it back on them. Which would be a deeply problematic order, since nobody would trust a breakthrough in the understanding of consciousness that came from AI, that is then potentially used to put them in the same class and define them as either thinking things or conscious things. Kind of a shame we didn't get our own consciousness worked out before AI came along. Then again, wasn't for the lack of trying… Philosophy commanded the attention of great thinkers for a long time.
- Rebuff5007 11mo agoHeres a definition. How impressive is the output relative to the input. And by input, I don't just mean the prompt, but all the training data itself. Do you think someone who has only ever studied pre-calc would be able to work through a calculus book if they had sufficient time? how about a multi-variable calc book? How about grad level mathematics? IMO intelligence and thinking is strictly about this ratio; what can you extrapolate from the smallest amount of information possible, and why? From this perspective, I dont think any of our LLMs are remotely intelligent despite what our tech leaders say.
- mycall 11mo agoAnimals think but come with instincts which breaks the output relative to the input test you propose. Behaviors are essentially pre-programmed input from millions of years of evolution, stored in the DNA/neurology. The learning thus typically associative and domain-specific, not abstract extrapolation. A crow bending a piece of wire into a hook to retrieve food demonstrates a novel solution extrapolated from minimal, non-instinctive, environmental input. This kind of zero-shot problem-solving aligns better with your definition of intelligence.
- kryogen1c 11mo agoHear, hear! I have long thought this, but not had as good way to put it as you did. If you think about geniuses like Einstein and ramanujen, they understood things before they had the mathematical language to express them. LLMs are the opposite; they fail to understand things after untold effort, training data, and training. So the question is, how intelligent are LLMs when you reduce their training data and training? Since they rapidly devolve into nonsense, the answer must be that they have no internal intelligence Ever had the experience of helping someone who's chronically doing the wrong thing, to eventually find they had an incorrect assumption, an incorrect reasoning generating deterministic wrong answers? LLMs dont do that; they just lack understanding. They'll hallucinate unrelated things because they dont know what they're talking about - you may have also had this experience with someone :)
- hodgehog11 11mo ago
- felipeerias 11mo agoThe discussion about “AGI” is somewhat pointless, because the term is nebulous enough that it will probably end up being defined as whatever comes out of the ongoing huge investment in AI. Nevertheless, we don’t have a good conceptual framework for thinking about these things, perhaps because we keep trying to apply human concepts to them. The way I see it, a LLM crystallises a large (but incomplete and disembodied) slice of human culture, as represented by its training set. The fact that a LLM is able to generate human-sounding language
- roenxi 11mo agoNot quite pointless - something we have established with the advent of LLMs is that many humans have not attained general intelligence. So we've clarified something that a few people must have been getting wrong, I used to think that the bar was set so that almost all humans met it.
- Jensson 11mo agoWhat do you mean? Almost every human can go to school and become a stable professional at some job, that is the bar to me, todays LLM cannot do that.
- roenxi 11mo agoLLMs are clever enough to hold down a professional job, and they've had far less time learning than the average human. If that is the bar then AGI has been achieved.
- goatlover 11mo agoAlmost all humans do things daily that LLMs don't. It's only if you define general intelligence to be proficiency at generating text instead of successfully navigating the world while pursuing goals such as friendships, careers, families, politics, managing health. LLMs aren't Data (Star Trek) or Replicants (Blade Runner). They're not even David or the androids from the movie A.I.
- lukebuehler 11mo ago