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I think a good test of this seems to be to provide an image and get the model to predict what will happen next/if x occurs. They fail spectacularly at Rube-Gold
by PxldLtd 11mo ago
I think a good test of this seems to be to provide an image and get the model to predict what will happen next/if x occurs. They fail spectacularly at Rube-Goldberg machines. I think developing some sort of dedicated prediction model would help massively in extrapolating data. The human subconscious is filled with all sorts of parabolic prediction, gravity, momentum and various other fast-thinking paths that embed these calculations.
- yanis_t 11mo agoAny example of that? One would think that predicting what comes next from an image is basically video generation, which works not perfect, but works somehow (Veo/Sora/Grok)
- PxldLtd 11mo agoHere's one I made in Veo3.1 since gemini is the only premium AI I have access to. Using this image - https://www.whimsicalwidgets.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/featured-image-001-B-scaled.jpg https://www.whimsicalwidgets.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/... and the prompt: "Generate a video demonstrating what will happen when a ball rolls down the top left ramp in this scene." You'll see it struggles - https://streamable.com/5doxh2 https://streamable.com/5doxh2 , which is often the case with video gen. You have to describe carefully and orchestrate natural feeling motion and interactions. You're welcome to try with any other models but I suspect very similar results.
- chamomeal 11mo agoI love how it still copies the slow pan and zoom from rube goldberg machine videos, but it's just following along with utter nonsense lol
- galaxyLogic 11mo agoA Goldbergs machine was not part of their training data. For humans, we have seem such things.
- autoexec 11mo agophysics textbooks are though so it should know how they'd work, or at least know that balls don't spontaneously appear and disappear and that gears don't work when they aren't connected
- mannykannot 11mo agoIt is video generation, but succeeding at this task involves detailed reasoning about cause and effect to construct chains of events, and may not be something that can be readily completed by applying "intuitions" gained from "watching" lots of typical movies, where most of the events are stereotypical.
- pfortuny 11mo agoMost amazing is asking any of the models to draw an 11-sided polygon and number the edges.
- Torkel 11mo agoI asked gpt5, and it worked really well with a correct result. Did you expect it to fail?