4 ms·
What's his estimate of how far we are from a definition of AGI?
by benzible 1y ago
What's his estimate of how far we are from a definition of AGI?
- password54321 1y agoCan perform out of distribution tasks at least around average human level performance.
- benzible 1y agoEvery attempt to formally define "general intelligence" for humans has been a shitshow. IQ tests were literally designed to justify excluding immigrants and sterilizing the "feeble-minded." Modern psychometrics can't agree on whether intelligence is one thing (g factor) or many things, whether it's measurable across cultures, or whether the tests measure aptitude or just familiarity with test-taking and middle-class cultural norms. Now we're trying to define AGI - artificial general intelligence - when we can't even define the G, much less the I. Is it "general" because it works across domains? Okay, how many domains? Is it "general" because it can learn new tasks? How quickly? With how much training data? The goalposts have already moved a dozen times. GPT-2 couldn't do X, so X was clearly a requirement for AGI. Now models can do X, so actually X was never that important, real AGI needs Y. It's a vibes-based marketing term - like "artificial intelligence" was (per John McCarthy himself) - not a coherent technical definition.
- password54321 1y agoI think you are overthinking this. The ARC benchmark for fluid abstracting reasoning was made in 2019 and it still hasn't been 'solved'. So the goalposts aren't moving as much as you think they are. LLMs or neural nets have never been good with out of distribution tasks.
- oytis 1y agoThe best definition so far is that it's something that will make a hundred billion dollar for Sam Altman.
- baobun 1y agoThat's unironially basically what Altman's defined it as in public.
- SJC_Hacker 1y agoTrue AGI will be able to improve itself without human intervention or even guidance
- nextworddev 1y agoassuming it's "aligned" with a foundational model lab
- chasd00 1y agoI wonder if like an inverse definition would work. If a user has root/admin access and all permissions/authority needed to command an AI to list the files in a directory and it simply refuses, would that be a sign of intelligence?
- balder1991 1y agoThe only relevant definition for them: https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/26/microsoft-and-openai-have-a-financial-definition-of-agi-report/ https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/26/microsoft-and-openai-have-...