No comment on OP and the "prophetic trilogy" from me... That said, it's feasible that an advanced system (not LLMs probably) could make accurate long term pred

No comment on OP and the "prophetic trilogy" from me... That said, it's feasible that an advanced system (not LLMs probably) could make accurate long term predictions and inaccurate short term predictions. In Asimov's psychohistory concept, the predictions got more accurate the further into the future they looked, because individual human actions are unpredictable, but the aggregate behavior of billions of people follows statistical patterns that become more reliable over longer timeframes. Short term predictions are vulnerable to random people/events that average out over enough time. And when predicting the distant future we go broad (social trends, foundational technologies, etc) but when predicting the immediate future we go narrow (what'll NVDA be worth next week).