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> what if that isn't the case? Why wouldn't it be? I believe programming is very much susceptible to Jevons paradox. I'm coding things I never would have start

> what if that isn't the case? Why wouldn't it be? I believe programming is very much susceptible to Jevons paradox. I'm coding things I never would have started working on a year ago because it either would have taken too long or would have been simply impossible without an LLM (like and MCP server).

raesene9 1y ago
I'm not saying more code won't be produced, I'm saying companies might only want and make money off a certain number of systems with a given amount of code, and therefore they'll need to employ fewer developers to create that code, if the productivity enhancements are borne out. For example, say you're the CEO of one of the many many companies that view development costs as an overhead. Your CTO comes to you and tells you "hey we've just 10x the productivity of all our developers", do you think that conversation leads to the CEO saying "great hire more developers"?
- sundaeofshock 1y ago
  To make it even more explicit, if the company has 100 developers, the CEO’s response will be “Great! Layoff 90 developers.”
  - ath3nd 1y ago
    Great, more work for us as consultants and security researchers when your vibe coded system gets its api keys on a public s3 bucket.
    - raesene9 1y ago
      (speaking at least for myself) I'm not suggesting this is a good outcome, more that having seen the way many companies handle development and IT, it's quite a likely one. FWIW I'd agree that (for now at least) it's challenging to get LLM/AI created code to avoid security vulnerabilities without careful prompting and review. Whether that's a fixable problem or whether it'll just generate mountains of new CVEs, bug bounties and ransomware attacks, remains to be seen.