4 ms·
I also misread that. The 0.005% is in relation to this: > In the following analysis we assume that 3I/ATLAS is on its current orbit but vary the time-of-entry
by pbmonster 1y ago
I also misread that. The 0.005% is in relation to this:
> In the following analysis we assume that 3I/ATLAS is on its current orbit but vary the time-of-entry into the Solar System (or equivalently the time of perihelion), assuming 3I/ATLAS could have come at any time into the Solar System, and happened to do so such that it came within the observed closest approaches of Venus, Mars and Jupiter. The probability of this is 0.005
So exact same trajectory, but analyzed over a long period of time. If it came any earlier or later, it would almost never get this close to exactly those three planets.
- TheOtherHobbes 1y agoThe aliens are going to be so annoyed when they realise they missed the interesting one.
- MarkusQ 1y agoNo matter how tempting the straight line, I will not make the joke.
- sebastiennight 1y agoYou've written too much or too little. The Internet demands to hear it.
- MarkusQ 1y agoOh come on, there are only 8.5±0.5-3, so 5 or 6 possibilities. Go through the list, Mercury through Pluto, mentally saying "I find ____ interesting" and notice which one gives you an eye roll/chuckle/groan.
- sebastiennight 1y agoAfter 2 years of the All-in podcast, I can't believe I still fell for it.