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Both sides are not equally wrong, clearly. Until yesterday prediction markets were saying the probability of an AI getting a gold medal in IMO in 2025 was <20%.
by rafaelero 1y ago
Both sides are not equally wrong, clearly. Until yesterday prediction markets were saying the probability of an AI getting a gold medal in IMO in 2025 was <20%. So clearly we should be more hyped, not less.
- isaacremuant 1y agoPrediction markets are companies and people trying to make money on volatility. Who cares? Why do people treat them as some prescient being?