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Predicted by the AI 2027 team in early April: > Mid 2025: Stumbling Agents The world sees its first glimpse of AI agents. Advertisements for computer-using ag
by ddp26 1y ago
Predicted by the AI 2027 team in early April:
> Mid 2025: Stumbling Agents
The world sees its first glimpse of AI agents.
Advertisements for computer-using agents emphasize the term “personal assistant”: you can prompt them with tasks like “order me a burrito on DoorDash” or “open my budget spreadsheet and sum this month’s expenses.” They will check in with you as needed: for example, to ask you to confirm purchases. Though more advanced than previous iterations like Operator, they struggle to get widespread usage.
- bigyabai 1y agoIt was common knowledge that big corps were working on agent-type products when that report was written. Hardly much of a prediction, let alone any sort of technical revolution.
- superconduct123 1y agoPredicting 4-months into the future is not really that impressive
- OtherShrezzing 1y agoEspecially when the author personally knows the engineers working on the features, and routinely goes to parties with them. And when you consider that Altman said last year that “2025 will be the agentic year”
- deleted 1y ago[deleted]
- Fraterkes 1y agoThe big crux of AI 2027 is the claims about exponential technological improvement. "Agents" are mostly a new frontend to the same technology openai has been selling for a while. Let's see if we're on track at the start of 2026
- chaos_emergent 1y agoThe same technology that checks notes has been in the wild for 7 months?
- Fraterkes 1y agoWhat is your point? We’re talking about the ai 2027 predictions here, which were made 4 months ago. 4 is “checks notes” less than 7
- chaos_emergent 1y agothe point is that minimizing 4 months as an insufficient timeline along which to prove out ones ability to predict a sequence of events is dumb when the rate of progress is incredibly fast.
- killerstorm 1y agoThey predicted something completely unsurprising. Like "we'll see clouds next week".
- Fraterkes 1y agoYou're calling me dumb? Kind of rude
- killerstorm 1y agoThey aren't predicting any new capabilities here: all things they mentioned already existed in various demos. They are basically saying that the next iteration of Operator is unlikely to be groundbreaking, which is rather obvious. I.e. "sudden breakthrough is unlikely" is just common sense. Calling it "The world sees its first glimpse of AI agents" is just bad writing, in my opinion. People have been making some basic agents for years, e.g. Auto-GPT & Baby-AGI were published in 2023: https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/12by8mj/i_used_autogpt_and_babyagi_today_we_are_not_ready/ https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/12by8mj/i_used... Yeah, those had much higher error rate, but what's the principal difference here? Seems rather weird "it's an agent when OpenAI calls it an agent" appeal to authority.