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I think it'll be a Jevons' paradox thing. If developer productivity improves, that just increases the scope of possible projects.
by HPsquared 1y ago
I think it'll be a Jevons' paradox thing. If developer productivity improves, that just increases the scope of possible projects.
- lesuorac 1y agoBut what new projects do you need? The west is in a world of abundance. We do not need 5 more ChatGPTs. It's better business to have one half price ChatGPT than 3 full priced ones. Jevon's Paradox requires an very large unmet consumer demand.
- orwin 1y agoI work in network security, specifically on the automation team. As we articulate more and more processes, products, monitoring together, new demand is created, and our scope grows (unlike our team right now). Being able to automatically write unit tests with minor inputs on my part, creating mocks and sometimes (mostly on front end work or on basic interface) even generating code makes me more 'productive' (not a huge increase but we work with a lot of proprietary stuff), and I'm okay with it. I also use it as a rubber duck under advices from someone on HN and it was a great idea.
- HPsquared 1y agoIt's hard to predict the details of emergent phenomena.
- fragmede 1y ago> Everything that can be invented has been invented. -Charles H. Duell, Commissioner of the US Patent Office, circa 1889
- BugheadTorpeda6 1y agoI think recent history has made Solows paradox more interesting than Jevons, which is mostly a thing talked about by people with something to sell related to AI it seems, and less so by economists. Seems to have applied much better early in the industrial revolution. I'm not sure economists even work on Jevons anymore (or if it was ever a very interesting topic for them, the writing on it seems very sparse in comparison).
- HPsquared 1y agoIn either case, developers won't have to worry about career longevity.