3 ms·

You are describing an exponential trend which famously do not exist in nature.

• nradov 1y ago
  I never claimed it was exponential. Closer to linear. Instead of making things up you could just look at the data. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LEU0254477200A https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LEU0254477200A
  • franktankbank 1y ago
    Huh, somehow disagreeing with me has softened your claim of "infinity". Yes it still goes up but you think that goes on forever? I just don't see it, more and more tech appears as complexity introduced for its own sake not for any sort of service to the end user. Why is that? Building moats around companies, building moats around your own job, none of that serves the end user. Eventually someone comes along to eat your ossified asses lunch. Eventually people check out from the digital world whether through sheer genetics or finally waking up to the blight.
    • nradov 1y ago
      There is effectively an infinite amount of software that people would like to have if it was free, thus infinite demand. This is fundamentally different from physical commodities: pretty much everyone wants some wheat, but there are physical limits to how much wheat we can consume which ultimately constrains demand. Lowering the cost of software development just means that more software will be developed. Despite your unhinged little rant there is zero evidence that the number of employed software developers will decline over the long term. Numbers fluctuate from year to year but you haven't provided any evidence for a change in the historical patterns.