But is your 10% chance of Trump winning model a better model than one that gave Trump a 40%, 50%, 60%, 70%, 80%, or 90% chance of winning? If you can't show th

But is your 10% chance of Trump winning model a better model than one that gave Trump a 40%, 50%, 60%, 70%, 80%, or 90% chance of winning? If you can't show that why should anyone listen to you?