What makes you think government sponsored entities would actually stop work on machine learning? Even if governments overtly agree to stop or pause or otherwis

What makes you think government sponsored entities would actually stop work on machine learning? Even if governments overtly agree to stop or pause or otherwise limit machine learning, how credible would such a "gentlemans agreement" be? Consider the basic operations during training and inference, like matrix multiplication, derivatives, gradient descent. Which of these would be banned? All of them? None of them? Some of them? The combination of them? How would you inspect compliance in the context of privacy? The analogy with drugs is rather poor: people don't have general purpose laboratories in their house. People do have general purpose computational platforms in their home. Another is that nations do not prohibit each other from producing drugs, they even permit each other to research and investigate pathogens, chemical weapons in laboratories deemed sufficiently safe. It's not even clear what you mean with "AI" does it mean all machine learning? or LLM's? Where do you draw this boundary? What remains is the threat of punishment in your proposal, but how credible is it, wouldn't a small collective of programmers conspiring work on machine learning, predict getting paperclipped in case of arrest?