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Anecdotal stuff is also useful when there is a lack of science. I hate it when HN people completely dismiss anecdotes and want research papers for everything. E
by ninetyninenine 2y ago
Anecdotal stuff is also useful when there is a lack of science. I hate it when HN people completely dismiss anecdotes and want research papers for everything. Even research papers are dubious.
Please share your personal experiences with cold water plunges! Was it good? Or was it bad? Where did you do it? How did you do it? Do you have a setup at home?
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- Retric 2y agoTried it for 3 months, noticed zero difference, and stopped. Now, do you know anything new? No, because anecdotes don’t actually provide meaningful information, we don’t know why we did or didn’t improve. Or in my case if there was some minor benefit or minor harm because I didn’t pay close enough attention etc etc.
- meowkit 2y agoAnecdotal results are highly dependent on the provider. The scientific method is supposed to allow someone with no credibility to provide signal through >process< and then gain credibility. Anecdotes from >a credible< person are very meaningful as they are often a high indicator of signal. A social heuristic outside of rigorous research. Your results as an anon? Basically useless. On HN? Slightly better than on reddit or facebook. Provide your methodology? Better still, and now youre approaching a research proposal. The meta discussion around anecdata being useful or not is silly.
- Retric 2y agoIf you want the protocol? Sure water temp 50-55f for 15 minutes 4-6 days a week (generally 5) for 3 months. Water chest height, arms generally above water. How exactly does credibility matter here? Science is heavily reputation based because there’s so much at stake and so few experiments take place, but with anecdotal evidence I don’t see the credibility of individual datapoints mattering much. I can’t tell if I minimally influenced my upper respiratory tract infection risk etc, all I can tell is the hassle wasn’t worth a benefit too small for me to notice. And that’s the issue, more than credibility if effect size was large enough to be noticeable to individuals you’d get extremely strong results from scientific studies. Conversely if it isn’t showing up as extremely effective in the literature that’s strong evidence individuals are misattributing their experiences.
- implmntatio 2y agohow often did you get sick? weight? what season did you do it in? what was your goal in the first place? > you’d get extremely strong results from scientific studies check population health data in countries where cold exposure is traditional. science is cool, scientists are just regular ol' people and enough regular ol' people do a lot to look good, to not be unemployed and having to write applications again, to get their tap on the head and or a nice bonus. **regular in their little slices under the bell curve
- hsuduebc2 2y agoIt's strange to question the work of scientists in this way. Precisely because they are only human the studies are peer reviewed and the meta studies have the most explanatory value and weight. Unless you are assuming there is some global conspiracy of scientists to have jobs the system it selfs manages it by it's transparency. Simplifying it in a "check population health data in countries where cold exposure is traditional" way is exactly the wrong approach. How do you know what kind of diet, genome and culture they have? There are so many variables that the mere fact of whether one diverse group does something different than another doesn't really say anything. It's so difficult to try to isolate individual problems. That's why we have the scientists.
- d-k-blackthorn 2y agoDon’t both things have value, when measured on different axes? I think it’s just a bit more gray.
- ninetyninenine 2y agoYou haven't heard of the replication crisis?
- hsuduebc2 2y agoNot till now. Thanks. But as weird as it can sounds. The failing and iterationg over and over is integral part of science. Which includes method itself.
- yowayb 2y agoThere are many things (I frankly don't think there's a more specific word for this) like diets and psychedelics where many of us (rigorously minded) are constantly seeking proofs within systems containing sufficient complexity to render conclusions nearly impossible.
- implmntatio 2y ago> constantly seeking proofs within systems containing sufficient complexity to render conclusions nearly impossible Language. Nothing is impossible.
- bcoates 2y agoDiet interventions aren't terribly hard to test, they just consistently tend to result in "as bad or worse than no intervention" (short of fixing the sort of malnutrition you rarely see in the contemporary developed world) The rigorous result is right in front of us we just don't like the answer
- m3kw9 2y agoI tried it for 20 seconds that was it
- hollerith 2y agoAll five merchants who went to Opal City were never seen again, but don't let that stop you from going to Opal City because anecdotes don’t actually provide meaningful information.
- ambicapter 2y agoif cold plunges either killed people or revived them from the dead, this would be a great analogy.
- mewpmewp2 2y agoAnother low stake option. 5 of your friends each say that restaurant A is horrible and restaurant B was great. You have to pick a restaurant. Are you going to throw dice because these are just anecdotes and don't matter?
- Retric 2y agoCarful, now you’re leaving random antidotes. A specific restaurant is an actual place so if someone describes the decor and prices yesterday it’s not going to be wildly different when you show up tomorrow.
- mewpmewp2 2y agoIs there a paper supporting that position of yours? I would like to see a study highlighting that restaurants are unlikely to change in time.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- hollerith 2y agoI'm not eating anything till I see a peer-reviewed study demonstrating that the verbal reports about restaurant decor made by my family members or the guys I ride bikes with on weekends have any actual correlation with actual restaurant decor. Where is the hard, non-anecdotal evidence?
- mewpmewp2 2y agoShould you also not ask for restaurant recommendations from people? These are also anecdotes.
- Retric 2y agoWhen someone records the height of a specific mountain we call that a measurement not an anecdote. If I ask someone if this bar is good, and they say they went to a different unrelated bar and it sucked then I’m going to ignore that as a random anecdote.
- mewpmewp2 2y agoWhat about if someone says that they felt a sauna session was good for them, or cold plunge benefited their health, etc?
- Retric 2y agoI know far too many aging hippies and their kids who believe all kinds of nonsense to really care what kind of health claims they’re making. I just tune out. One guy was saying you can replace sleep with LSD. He changed his mind, but would you believe it or just do what I did smile nod and move on?
- mewpmewp2 2y agoI wouldn't believe that, but there are plenty of other activities that I do because people have anecdotally reported that they benefitted from them. In this case I would use my internal judgment and intuition to decide based on benefits vs cost/risk. Does it seem unlikely to harm me, but many people have suggested they benefit from it? Sure, I will try it. I will see if I feel better or notice anything. If I don't, that's fine. If I do, I wouldn't necessarily know if it is beyond placebo or not, but I could keep doing it to see how it affects my life and if it keeps seemingly positive I can decide to keep doing it even though I don't have scientifically unquestionable truth that it is actually helping me. People have survived generations and found things that work without needing everything to be scientifically verified.
- Funes- 2y agoI don't have a way to do "cold plunges" consistently, but cold showers have been great for me. I have ADHD and am quite anxious and highly sensitive. Whenever I make cold showers part of my daily morning routine, I feel much calmer. Very hard workouts also do wonders, especially if they involve combat sports, which I practice. There's something about overcoming fear of conflict. I guess exposing yourself to extreme cold is akin to that.
- meowkit 2y ago+1 for cold showers. Excellent for several things. Personally I recommend them at the end of a normal shower, before bed, to drop your core temperature. Takes a couple weeks to acclimate, but much easier afterwards, same benefits.
- yard2010 2y agoAnecdotal - according to the Huberman podcast, cold exposure is better practiced in the morning not before sleep due to its stimulating effect.
- __MatrixMan__ 2y agoSame here, re: ADHD. The clearest my head ever is is after climbing at my very limit and then taking a cold shower.
- dwaltrip 2y agoSimilar here. Although I’ve taken to just doing an occasional 30-60 seconds of cold water at the end of a regular shower. Exercise wise, for me, it’s a solid pickleball session. Good intensity cardio, super fun, the competitive striving to win, as well as low stakes, meaningful social interaction, all combined together. Doing pickleball open play (pickup games) a few times a week has been huge for me.
- refulgentis 2y agoI love a good yarn too! Hearing someone describe it can also help motivate you to try it in the first place > Anecdotal stuff is also useful when there is a lack of science. Yeah sure, but there is science, the link, and no one is arguing the opposite. The poster doth protest too much
- greenchair 2y agothese days anecdotal is better than "science"
- computerdork 2y agoUsed to do them, and really want to start again. For me, felt more awake than I ever have been. And, your body feels like it's running at its best for a short while - think it's partially because, at least for me, I tense like every muscle in my body before that super cold water hits me. It's like a mini work-out.
- deepGem 2y agoI don't do plunges but do cold showers. They are not the same but cold showers do have one anecdotal benefit for me, I don't feel cold post the cold shower. My immunity had been pretty good but am not sure if I can attribute that to cold showers. I moved to the bay area in August after nearly a 14 year stint in India. This winter the flu virus got me. I was able to fight it off without a lot of meds, I got sick after nearly 4 years. So am not sure if my body has good immunity anymore. Overall, I have come to liking cold showers simply because of the post shower feeling. A hot shower is great while in the shower, not so great afterwards. A cold shower is miserable the first 30 seconds, a pretty good feeling afterwards.
- bcoates 2y agoGiven how absolutely trivial it is to do a randomized intervention study here (you can't do double-blind, but dose-response is easy enough) there's not a lot of reason to care about n=1 results except plausible reports of rare seriously negative outcomes. If it works, it would be within the resources of an ambitious high school class to prove it. If it doesn’t, "more research will be needed"
- nojs 2y ago> I hate it when HN people completely dismiss anecdotes and want research papers for everything. You can point them to this: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC300808/ https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC300808/
- mewpmewp2 2y agoThat is absolutely fantastic and thank you for that.
- ninetyninenine 2y agoPoint them? Them is basically everyone on HN.
- oa335 2y agoIn my opinion anecdotes are extremely important to take heed of, especially if they are contrary to the prevailing model. I believe a lot paradigm shifts start out with anecdotal data. We need anecdotes to know where to start looking.
- refurb 2y agoThe problem with anecdotes is that the brain is a hell of a drug. I work in clinical trials and it’s amazing at the list of side effects participants get when they are in the placebo arm. And it’s not even small numbers. It’s not unusual for 20-40% to have side effects like drowsiness, tingling sensation, muscle pain, jitteriness, euphoria/dysphoria, feeling of being too hot/cold, headache, stuffy nose, tinnitus, frequent urination, diarrhea/constipation, etc. Now layer that on top of cold plunges where people who do it already have an expectation based on others experiences and boom - you suddenly get tens od thousands of anecdotes about the effects that make it seem like it must be true. (Note: I’m not making a judgement call on cold plunges, it’s just an example)
- KennyBlanken 2y agoThe person you replied to has such a fundamental lack of understanding of scientific method and logic, you're trying to make a horse drink.
- ninetyninenine 2y agoNot true. I understand it quite well better then most people and most likely you as well. You used the scientific method and logic in the same sentence. You're aware that they are completely different right? Science can never prove anything.
- askvictor 2y agoI do open water swimming through the winter in Melbourne with no wetsuit. Mid-winter it gets to about 8-9C, and I stay in about 20-30 minutes. There's definitely a mental health benefit, probably largely from doing the thing that seems difficult to do, but once you're started it fine. I also notice that at night, after such a swim, I run _really_ hot. Like, don't need a doona, even in the middle of winter in an un-heated and un-insulated house. Overall, I like it, but it's taken years of slow acclimation to get there.
- KennyBlanken 2y ago> Anecdotal stuff is also useful when there is a lack of science. There isn't... https://www.google.com/search?q=science+direct+cold+water+immersion https://www.google.com/search?q=science+direct+cold+water+im... > e. I hate it when HN people completely dismiss anecdotes and want research papers for everything. Then educate yourself on the scientific method, evidence, logic, and so on. Because "HN people" are right to dismiss anecdotes as being useful evidence of anything. > Even research papers are dubious. That some research papers are dubious does not make personal anecdotes more reliable.
- ninetyninenine 2y agohttps://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC300808/ https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC300808/ The above is an extremely true and reliable paper. Everything it talks about is true and reliable. But it illustrates the weakness with science. Something you don't understand.
- m463 2y agoTried (completely) cold showers for a while. anecdotally: - the first 15 seconds are the worst, especially cold water on your back. - it is invigorating. There is a feeling of "being present" that doesn't seem to happen with a hot shower. - when you get out, the room and toweling off does not feel cold. - the bathroom mirrors did not fog I have no idea of the health benefits. At some point I stopped doing it and then couldn't ever go back. However, sometimes I do the "james bond shower", which is a hot shower that tapers to cold. mirrors fog, but still somewhat invigorating and easier to do. I also once stayed in a hotel which had a dual shower stall. I put one to hot, one to cold and would go back and forth. That was very fun and invigorating.
- billfruit 2y agoMore useful than anecdotes would be a theory(which put forths an explanation of why something might be so), which is interesting even in the absence of any experimental data.
- aradox66 2y agoIt is incredibly challenging, but I feel absolutely amazing afterwards. Maybe because it's over lol. The difficulty and the high are both stronger when the water is colder, down to freezing. 45F with moving water feels WAY COLDER than 32F still water.