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All these companies are 0.5 months away from "singularity" and "super intelligence" yet no one sticks with them for more than a couple of months. Something does

All these companies are 0.5 months away from "singularity" and "super intelligence" yet no one sticks with them for more than a couple of months. Something doesn't add up

rapsey 2y ago
Way too much money going around.
- skeeter2020 2y ago
  20 years ago I would have said a group of smart visionaries getting a pile of money with no publicly shared vision, product or direction was an exciting, positive thing. Somewhere over the past 5-10 years this morphed into cynicism as I await to see how they will light it on fire this time.
  - asadotzler 2y ago
    maybe because of bitcoin, nfts, iot, ai, metaverse, all these other endeavors that sucked up billions and gave us nothing of benefit in return.
jstummbillig 2y ago
I don't see anything particularly inexplicable going on. Insane level of attention and development moves people and any industry quickly. Everything is more exaggerated and extreme.
- deleted 2y ago
  [deleted]
moron4hire 2y ago
Very inefficient. Where's the DOGE for VCs just burning capital?
- charlie0 2y ago
  VC money isn't tax money.
  - moron4hire 2y ago
    It's also not their money
kittikitti 2y ago
They are all big tech plants and this incestuous behavior is by design.
openrisk 2y ago
Not sure its my filters working to remove nuisance news but the "singularity" plot and "AI safety" seem a bit less prevalent these days? Maybe the nature of these algorithms is finally diffusing to wider audiences?
- tbrownaw 2y ago
  The singularity stuff was mostly coming out of the lesswrong/miri/etc crowd. Maybe they've moved on, or maybe they've lost influence. The AI safety stuff seemed like half an extension of that, and half early movers (eg openai) calling for regulators to hand them a moat. Between things like deepseek on the one hand and laws already being passed on the other hand, there's probably less use in spending energy agitating for moats now.
bko 2y ago
I think it's simpler than that. Mira's startup was able to raise 100 million on just an idea. So she can just leave and become a paper centi-millionaire overnight and run the whole org. How can someone compete with that? You can't throw enough money at these guys to get them to stay If the AI hype keeps going for another year or two, I'll look forward to Schulman leaving this new startup to start his own and raising another 9 figure amount where he's the majority stakeholder.
- charlie0 2y ago
  Bingo. Founders end up taking the lion's share of all the stock. I've seen this over and over again everywhere, don't be a founding engineer, it's financially not worth it. This i the most evident when you're talking about close to 100M just by changing 1 position, into founder/CEO.
deleted 2y ago
[deleted]

All these companies are 0.5 months away from "singularity" and "super intelligence" yet no one sticks with them for more than a couple of months. Something doesn't add up

rapsey 2y ago

Way too much money going around.

skeeter2020 2y ago
20 years ago I would have said a group of smart visionaries getting a pile of money with no publicly shared vision, product or direction was an exciting, positive thing. Somewhere over the past 5-10 years this morphed into cynicism as I await to see how they will light it on fire this time.
- asadotzler 2y ago
  maybe because of bitcoin, nfts, iot, ai, metaverse, all these other endeavors that sucked up billions and gave us nothing of benefit in return.

jstummbillig 2y ago

I don't see anything particularly inexplicable going on. Insane level of attention and development moves people and any industry quickly. Everything is more exaggerated and extreme.

deleted 2y ago
[deleted]

moron4hire 2y ago

Very inefficient. Where's the DOGE for VCs just burning capital?

charlie0 2y ago
VC money isn't tax money.
- moron4hire 2y ago
  It's also not their money

kittikitti 2y ago

They are all big tech plants and this incestuous behavior is by design.

openrisk 2y ago

Not sure its my filters working to remove nuisance news but the "singularity" plot and "AI safety" seem a bit less prevalent these days? Maybe the nature of these algorithms is finally diffusing to wider audiences?

tbrownaw 2y ago
The singularity stuff was mostly coming out of the lesswrong/miri/etc crowd. Maybe they've moved on, or maybe they've lost influence. The AI safety stuff seemed like half an extension of that, and half early movers (eg openai) calling for regulators to hand them a moat. Between things like deepseek on the one hand and laws already being passed on the other hand, there's probably less use in spending energy agitating for moats now.

bko 2y ago

I think it's simpler than that. Mira's startup was able to raise 100 million on just an idea. So she can just leave and become a paper centi-millionaire overnight and run the whole org. How can someone compete with that? You can't throw enough money at these guys to get them to stay If the AI hype keeps going for another year or two, I'll look forward to Schulman leaving this new startup to start his own and raising another 9 figure amount where he's the majority stakeholder.

charlie0 2y ago
Bingo. Founders end up taking the lion's share of all the stock. I've seen this over and over again everywhere, don't be a founding engineer, it's financially not worth it. This i the most evident when you're talking about close to 100M just by changing 1 position, into founder/CEO.

deleted 2y ago

[deleted]