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I think this line of reasoning is premature. The drive to mass automate is delusional. The complexity of that undertaking is barely grasped, and the tech to ena
by bsenftner 2y ago
I think this line of reasoning is premature. The drive to mass automate is delusional. The complexity of that undertaking is barely grasped, and the tech to enable it may be visible on the horizon, but what we are working with today is not that technology. The AI today is "Atari graphics" and, yeah, sure, we can see the photo realistic fully automated civilization in this capability, but there is a gargantuan series of unsolved and nobody wants to touch them human political and human maturity issues that will stall and derail all of this thinking. The tech is on the horizon, but the human race's ability to meet it is not, we've got growing up to do.
- ssssvd 2y agoHow many 100s of billions had been invested into Atari Graphics? What administrations supported Atari Graphics as a nation-wide top-level project? The key difference in AI is the combined investment of industry champions AND nations states on mind-boggling scale. That can cut the adoption from 40 years to 10. Today's graduates would hardly be able to pay their edu debts by then.
- bsenftner 2y agoYou've missed my point: it is not a financing issue that will prevent mass automation, it is not a technology issue that will prevent mass automation, it is a social politics issue that will derail the entire goal. It's pretty hard to automate while a war is taking place, and if this tech is used to create mass unemployment that will trigger war.