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> The problem with this is that it's supposedly about predicting the future but actually bases everything on LLM's current capabilities. Is it possible you mis

• ilaksh 2y ago
  It's not the entire last half. He does mention agents, but inaccurately says that Devin is the only agentic software engineering tool. But he does not override his initial premise of doubting that things will change significantly from the current uses in the future. It's not really unknown, there are several popular tools, and we can expect them to be more reliable and useful as better models continue to be rolled out. Also if you are writing about the future then you should look beyond next year. Everyone should anticipate that there is a strong possibility that we continue on a similar trajectory of improvement. Therefore it is NOT reasonable to expect that things won't change dramatically in software engineering, because the trajectory is very rapid progress. Within the next 3, 5, maybe 10 years, many existing jobs including software engineering may be replaced by AI. That's the direction we are headed and any article should take the possibility seriously by now.