China has more than 3X the population of the US, so it only needs a bit over 1/3 the GDP per capita to overtake the US. I can’t imagine that not happening unles

China has more than 3X the population of the US, so it only needs a bit over 1/3 the GDP per capita to overtake the US. I can’t imagine that not happening unless China really screws up. Overtaking the US on GDP per capita is much further away.