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Is there any possible future, where Waymo is NOT one of the major players in self driving software?
by ArtTimeInvestor 2y ago
Is there any possible future, where Waymo is NOT one of the major players in self driving software?
- d--b 2y agoMaybe Elon Musk will yield enough power in the US government to influence safety policies in such a way that is harmful to waymo. It doesn't seem like conflict of interest is bothering him much.
- ArtTimeInvestor 2y agoThat might help Tesla catch up. That might make Waymo nr 2. But my question was about being "one of the major players". The market is huge. My rough guess is that every 10% of market share is worth $1T in market cap. Which is half of Google's overall current market cap.
- threeseed 2y agoElon Musk is already planning on scrapping the self driving crash reporting: https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/trump-transition-recommends-scrapping-car-crash-reporting-requirement-opposed-by-2024-12-13/ https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/trump-...
- ddalex 2y agoSo Musk is effectively the most powerful man on the planet right now, he's a major player in 3 key industries, and the head of effective (de)regulation in the largest consumer market by dollar volume. Isn't this a bit like ole' good Crassus in ancient Rome? Head of the government and richest buddy aroubnd? If history repeats, we'll see the American Imperial Era rising up very soon, were the interests of the state will fraction between the interests of the oligarchs and the lines blurry between law and personal convenience of the wealthist citizens
- viraptor 2y ago> the interests of the state will fraction between the interests of the oligarchs and the lines blurry between law and personal convenience of the wealthist citizens That's basically cyberpunk. And yes, we're pretty much heading towards megacorps.
- wqaatwt 2y agoCrassus died pursuing an absurd extremely expensive boondoggle. So if history is to repeat itself maybe SpaceX is sending that rocket to Mars after all.
- amelius 2y agoI bet he wants to ban Lidar.
- jstummbillig 2y agoHave they solved their mapping problem? Because that, more so than the added Lidar hardware cost, seems like the lynchpin here: As soon as Tesla works, it works everywhere*. Last I heard Waymo, they have to do every city, one at a time – and there are a lot of cities.
- rsanek 2y agoI've been hearing that Tesla's FSD is just around the corner for a decade. so far it sounds like they're millions of miles behind Waymo
- wstrange 2y agoThe mapping problem keeps getting brought up (often by Tesla enthusiasts). It just doesn't seem like a huge problem? If you have cars equipped with high resolution Lidar and cameras, mapping new routes seems like it ought to scale as the fleet is expanded. This problem seems embarrassingly parallel.
- fragmede 2y agoAs a reminder, Google Maps Street View was brought to us by Google. They might know a thing or two about mapping the drivable (and more!) world.
- jstummbillig 2y agoI don't understand. You first need the map, then you can drive, yes? How does the fleet help in the creation of a new map?
- wstrange 2y agoThe fleet car drives very slowly the first time, perhaps under supervision of a human. The point is - you have a massive fleet of cars with all the right sensors to create a high resolution map.