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Monkeys Can Predict Election Outcomes
- pmdr 2y agoOf course they can, it takes one to know one.
- orliesaurus 2y agoI wonder how this could be applied to other things, idk... fashion, ads,
- amelius 2y agoWe need more monkeys in prediction markets.
- millytexas12 2y ago[flagged]
- readthenotes1 2y agoHow do we flag Spam?
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- firesteelrain 2y agoOf course, they have natural monKEYs to the White House
- ndsipa_pomu 2y agoThis highlights one major problem with democracy - it's usually the loudest/most charismatic/tallest/most publicised person that will win elections. Unfortunately, our system also selects for the best liars - people who are adept at fooling people.
- readthenotes1 2y ago"This highlights one major problem with democracy ..." That sociology/psychology are modern-day phrenology and people are led by the results?
- jfactorial 2y agoThis article is not peer reviewed. It says monkeys look less at masculine features than feminine ones and thus they often look more at the loser than winner of a US election. The monkeys always fail at predicting female winners vs male despite voters selecting female candidates about half the time. I think the title of both paper and post are funny but wrong. A monkey predicts election outcomes as well as a coin with “the manly one wins” written on both sides (not well).
- RadiozRadioz 2y agoI wonder what types of videos TikTok would recommend to monkeys
- uniqueuid 2y agoOk so the correlation coefficient for vote share is .048, meaning the R squared or explained variance is .0028 i.e. around three percent. No, monkeys cannot predict vote share. That said, for a paper with such an obvious bullshit design the text itself is not that bad, at least they seriously investigate the facial features that seem to be relevant to these cases. If you must remember this paper (please don’t), do it as “monkey ganze is a better predictor for election races in the US than a coin throw”.
- skeeter2020 2y agoLet's look at the traits of "successful" politicans; so (like everything not at the top of the food chain) monkeys respond to loud, in your face, potentially threatening stimulus, or alternatively monkeys are not color blind.
- putzdown 2y agoThe clickbaity title is misleading. The article does not argue that monkeys have a strong election prediction ability. It merely argues that there is some gentle correlation between monkey gaze behavior and election outcomes. That’s not surprising. Almost any reasonable hypothesized factor—number of letters in candidate’s name, for example—will have some correlation. The title and tone of the article are overblown.