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> Overly pessimistic. Our culture and economy have been structured to yield low fertility. That will eventually pass. But I don't see succesful attempts cultur
by ralfd 2y ago
> Overly pessimistic. Our culture and economy have been structured to yield low fertility. That will eventually pass.
But I don't see succesful attempts culture/economy changed to be family friendly?
Realistically our culture/economy right now "will pass" by being replaced with the virile Amish.
- cryptonector 2y ago> But I don't see succesful attempts culture/economy changed to be family friendly? The fertility crisis is fairly new, and the public's consciousness of it is still barely there. That means we've not had enough serious attempts at fixing this. But it will happen. First we're seeing tax policy being altered to incentivize family formation in some places (very few). Second we'll see at some point that newer generations will place more value on early family formation and that will then lead to a change in the culture. That's my prediction, but who knows. > Realistically our culture/economy right now "will pass" by being replaced with the virile Amish. This is just the The Handmaid's Tale fantasy some people have. That's quite clearly not in the cards. And it's not like that's what our culture was like in the past (it wasn't), nor like that's the only way back to replacement level fertility (why would it be?).
- lotsofpulp 2y ago>That means we've not had enough serious attempts at fixing this. But it will happen. First we're seeing tax policy being altered to incentivize family formation in some places (very few). The biggest problem is that countries want to incentivize good family formation, not just family formation. And that's a seemingly impossible nut to crack with government incentives. You can't just throw cash at people, you would end up with people you don't want having kids raising them to become adults you don't want.