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The government is likely trying to accuse Polymarket of market manipulation and rigging its polls in favor of Trump, the source said. That is ridiculous, like
by Simulacra 2y ago
The government is likely trying to accuse Polymarket of market manipulation and rigging its polls in favor of Trump, the source said.
That is ridiculous, like saying a betting website can rig a football game. I guess it's possible but an election? This feels like Lawfare.
- llamaimperative 2y agoI would recommend not trusting an unnamed source's interpretation of another party's actions. They're not describing what they saw or what they know, they're describing what they think.
- blackeyeblitzar 2y agoMy mind also went to lawfare, which there has been so much of from this administration and various states - not just concerning Trump but also Elon. Why care about this website that very few people have even heard of? Because it was the one place that did not predict a very close election outcome? Nate Silver accused pollsters of herding given all of them were painting every race as a toss up, and this seems like a good alternative source of information.
- llamaimperative 2y ago> Why care about this website that very few people have even heard of? Probably because there was credible belief of a criminal act, and probably not for the reasons that an unnamed source an NYPost article is conjecturing.
- adventured 2y agoThey didn't say Polymarket rigged the election, you interpreted that incorrectly.
- Simulacra 2y agoArticle specifically says Polymarket, quote taken directly from the article.
- lcnPylGDnU4H9OF 2y agoYes, the source is claiming that the government is likely to accuse Polymarket of rigging their predictive analysis about the election ("polls" but apparently they don't actually poll), not the election itself.
- indoordin0saur 2y agoIf they are going with that theory they should also investigate the pollsters who put out suspiciously positive polls that seemed designed to drive enthusiasm for Harris the week before election. I'm thinking specifically of that infamous Iowa Selzer poll.