3 ms·
Except this flu was first identified in 1996 and there still hasn’t been any large outbreaks in humans, just small pockets of infections among farm workers and
by throwup238 2y ago
Except this flu was first identified in 1996 and there still hasn’t been any large outbreaks in humans, just small pockets of infections among farm workers and their family members. It only took months between the first suspected COVID case and massive lockdowns.
- perihelions 2y agoWell, the outbreak in mammalian livestock is very novel, and enormous in scale. I'm not making any points or claims about the human pandemic risk, because I don't know. My point is a narrow one: that the CDC's current messaging language is low-signal and shouldn't be interpreted heavily.
- dhosek 2y agoWell fortunately for pandemic response, I’m sure that the CDC will be sure to prevent it from spreading and encourage vaccinations. What could possibly go wrong?
- Fomite 2y agoThe problem with flu is that with reassortment, and especially with an expansion of the host species, we're basically just making a bunch of saving throws, hoping they're all okay.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- timr 2y ago> It only took months between the first suspected COVID case and massive lockdowns. ...and they made exactly the same mistakes of extrapolation from a small sample when they did that. You cannot conclude anything meaningful to the general population from a tiny sample of farmworkers.