3 ms·
There is already plenty of historical data that would have demonstrated the quality of the predictions. This specific bet, however, could be the worst way to ju
by throwaway657656 2y ago
There is already plenty of historical data that would have demonstrated the quality of the predictions. This specific bet, however, could be the worst way to judge the prediction markets given that the key demographics of the gamblers, young risk taking males, are the same that strongly favor the GOP candidate. In that regard, your bet alone demonstrates loyalty which feels like a soft win. Also, when you win if you win, and if you lose, you were still right because you can cite the heavily skewed prediction market as proof the election was stolen.
- baxtr 2y agoBut how is a prediction market any good if you need to correct for the demographics of the gamblers for each bet?
- Dylan16807 2y agoIt being relevant to a couple bets doesn't mean you need to correct "each bet".
- s1artibartfast 2y agoThat depends on what you are using it for, doesn't it? Like anything, you cant turn your brain off and take it as gospel.