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Feels different to past hype cycles (Internet bubble, Crypto bubble). LLMs with meaningful capabilities arrive very quickly. e.g. One week they were not that u
by brotchie 2y ago
Feels different to past hype cycles (Internet bubble, Crypto bubble).
LLMs with meaningful capabilities arrive very quickly. e.g. One week they were not that useful, the next week they gained meaningful capabilities.
A function that takes text and returns text isn't that useful without it being integrated into products, and this takes time.
Next 12-24 months will be the AIfication of many workflows: that is, discovering and integrating LLM-based reasoning into business processes. Assuming even a gradual improvement in capabilities of LLMs over time, all of these AI enhanced business processes will simply get better.
Diffusion of technology is slow slow slow, and then fast. As I become more capable with AI (e.g. what tasks as an engineer are helped using AI) I'm getting better and better at it. So there's a non-linear learning curve where, as you learn to use the technology better, you can unlock more productivity.
- vrighter 2y agothe aiification of products to me sounds like being made both less reliable and less predictable. Not a good thing